Skip to main content
icon for Claude Mythos released on…?

Claude Mythos released on…?

icon for Claude Mythos released on…?

Claude Mythos released on…?

On or prior to June 9 99.8%

June 11 <1%

June 10 <1%

June 12 <1%

Polymarket

$146,984 Обс.

On or prior to June 9 99.8%

June 11 <1%

June 10 <1%

June 12 <1%

Polymarket

$146,984 Обс.

On or prior to June 9

$73,134 Обс.

Yes

June 10

$24,929 Обс.

No

June 11

$8,415 Обс.

No

June 12

$2,899 Обс.

No

June 13

$2,665 Обс.

No

June 14

$2,776 Обс.

No

June 15

$2,864 Обс.

No

June 16

$2,176 Обс.

No

June 17

$519 Обс.

No

June 18

$946 Обс.

No

June 19

$1,142 Обс.

No

June 20

$721 Обс.

No

June 21

$5,741 Обс.

No

June 22

$1,632 Обс.

No

June 23

$702 Обс.

No

June 24

$612 Обс.

No

June 25

$642 Обс.

No

June 26

$899 Обс.

No

June 27

$669 Обс.

No

June 28

$4,027 Обс.

No

June 29

$822 Обс.

No

June 30

$902 Обс.

No

Not released by June 30

$7,150 Обс.

No

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes "Claude Mythos" available to the general public. Any model whose official name includes “Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X) or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify towards this market’s resolution. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless named Mythos or officially identified by Anthropic as a “Mythos-class” model. The qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Anthropic's official launch of Claude Mythos 5 on June 9, 2026, as a limited preview under Project Glasswing has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward an on-or-prior-to-June-9 resolution. The update delivered measurable gains in cybersecurity, biology, and healthcare benchmarks for the model class first previewed in April, with immediate availability to select partners for controlled testing. This aligns with Anthropic's pattern of gated rollouts for high-capability systems that demonstrate advanced zero-day discovery and exploit generation. While the 100% market-implied odds reflect strong confirmation through the company's announcements and partner access, outcomes could still shift if resolution criteria require broader public availability, full API integration, or specific feature thresholds not yet met in the initial rollout.

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes "Claude Mythos" available to the general public.

Any model whose official name includes “Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X) or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify towards this market’s resolution. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless named Mythos or officially identified by Anthropic as a “Mythos-class” model.

The qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.

If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$146,984
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jun 8, 2026, 9:07 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes "Claude Mythos" available to the general public. Any model whose official name includes “Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X) or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify towards this market’s resolution. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless named Mythos or officially identified by Anthropic as a “Mythos-class” model. The qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Результат запропоновано: Yes

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: Yes

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes "Claude Mythos" available to the general public. Any model whose official name includes “Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X) or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify towards this market’s resolution. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless named Mythos or officially identified by Anthropic as a “Mythos-class” model. The qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Anthropic's official launch of Claude Mythos 5 on June 9, 2026, as a limited preview under Project Glasswing has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward an on-or-prior-to-June-9 resolution. The update delivered measurable gains in cybersecurity, biology, and healthcare benchmarks for the model class first previewed in April, with immediate availability to select partners for controlled testing. This aligns with Anthropic's pattern of gated rollouts for high-capability systems that demonstrate advanced zero-day discovery and exploit generation. While the 100% market-implied odds reflect strong confirmation through the company's announcements and partner access, outcomes could still shift if resolution criteria require broader public availability, full API integration, or specific feature thresholds not yet met in the initial rollout.

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes "Claude Mythos" available to the general public.

Any model whose official name includes “Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X) or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify towards this market’s resolution. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless named Mythos or officially identified by Anthropic as a “Mythos-class” model.

The qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.

If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$146,984
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jun 8, 2026, 9:07 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes "Claude Mythos" available to the general public. Any model whose official name includes “Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X) or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify towards this market’s resolution. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless named Mythos or officially identified by Anthropic as a “Mythos-class” model. The qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Результат запропоновано: Yes

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: Yes

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Claude Mythos released on…?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 23 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «On or prior to June 9» з 100%, далі «June 10» з 0%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Claude Mythos released on…?» згенерував $147K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jun 8, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Claude Mythos released on…?», перегляньте 23 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Claude Mythos released on…?» — «On or prior to June 9» з 100%. Наступний — «June 10» з 0%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Claude Mythos released on…?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.