Anthropic's official release of Claude Opus 4.7 today, April 16, solidifies trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "on or prior to April 16," as the large language model is now live on Claude.ai, the Anthropic API, Amazon Bedrock, and Google Vertex AI with key upgrades including over 3x higher vision resolution, a new "xhigh" effort level for complex tasks, 1M-token context window, and automatic cyber safeguards. Preceding reports from The Information and codebase leaks signaled an imminent drop this week, driving early positioning, while extensive safety evaluations met Anthropic's rigorous standards. Barring an unprecedented rollback due to undisclosed issues—highly unlikely given multi-platform deployment—resolution appears certain, underscoring prediction markets' efficiency in aggregating real-time AI deployment signals.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоClaude 4.7 released on...?
Claude 4.7 released on...?
On or prior to April 16 100.0%
April 17 <1%
April 18 <1%
April 19 <1%
$330,392 Обс.
$330,392 Обс.
Apr 30, 2026
On or prior to April 16
Yes
April 17
No
April 18
No
April 19
No
April 20
No
April 21
No
April 22
No
April 23
No
April 24
No
April 25
No
April 26
No
April 27
No
April 28
No
April 29
No
April 30
No
Not released by April 30
No
On or prior to April 16 100.0%
April 17 <1%
April 18 <1%
April 19 <1%
$330,392 Обс.
$330,392 Обс.
Apr 30, 2026
On or prior to April 16
$171,584 Обс.
Yes
April 17
$22,254 Обс.
No
April 18
$15,199 Обс.
No
April 19
$8,993 Обс.
No
April 20
$7,985 Обс.
No
April 21
$9,387 Обс.
No
April 22
$4,823 Обс.
No
April 23
$4,910 Обс.
No
April 24
$4,639 Обс.
No
April 25
$4,164 Обс.
No
April 26
$4,620 Обс.
No
April 27
$4,838 Обс.
No
April 28
$4,249 Обс.
No
April 29
$4,045 Обс.
No
April 30
$3,681 Обс.
No
Not released by April 30
$55,022 Обс.
No
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's official release of Claude Opus 4.7 today, April 16, solidifies trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "on or prior to April 16," as the large language model is now live on Claude.ai, the Anthropic API, Amazon Bedrock, and Google Vertex AI with key upgrades including over 3x higher vision resolution, a new "xhigh" effort level for complex tasks, 1M-token context window, and automatic cyber safeguards. Preceding reports from The Information and codebase leaks signaled an imminent drop this week, driving early positioning, while extensive safety evaluations met Anthropic's rigorous standards. Barring an unprecedented rollback due to undisclosed issues—highly unlikely given multi-platform deployment—resolution appears certain, underscoring prediction markets' efficiency in aggregating real-time AI deployment signals.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ET
Обсяг
$330,392Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: Yes
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: Yes
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic's official release of Claude Opus 4.7 today, April 16, solidifies trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "on or prior to April 16," as the large language model is now live on Claude.ai, the Anthropic API, Amazon Bedrock, and Google Vertex AI with key upgrades including over 3x higher vision resolution, a new "xhigh" effort level for complex tasks, 1M-token context window, and automatic cyber safeguards. Preceding reports from The Information and codebase leaks signaled an imminent drop this week, driving early positioning, while extensive safety evaluations met Anthropic's rigorous standards. Barring an unprecedented rollback due to undisclosed issues—highly unlikely given multi-platform deployment—resolution appears certain, underscoring prediction markets' efficiency in aggregating real-time AI deployment signals.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$330,392Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: Yes
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: Yes
Anthropic's official release of Claude Opus 4.7 today, April 16, solidifies trader consensus at 100% implied probability for "on or prior to April 16," as the large language model is now live on Claude.ai, the Anthropic API, Amazon Bedrock, and Google Vertex AI with key upgrades including over 3x higher vision resolution, a new "xhigh" effort level for complex tasks, 1M-token context window, and automatic cyber safeguards. Preceding reports from The Information and codebase leaks signaled an imminent drop this week, driving early positioning, while extensive safety evaluations met Anthropic's rigorous standards. Barring an unprecedented rollback due to undisclosed issues—highly unlikely given multi-platform deployment—resolution appears certain, underscoring prediction markets' efficiency in aggregating real-time AI deployment signals.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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