Xi Jinping maintains firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army through repeated high-level purges, including the early 2026 removal of senior generals such as Zhang Youxia framed officially as anti-corruption measures rather than responses to organized opposition. No verified coup attempts or credible challenges to central authority have surfaced in official channels or credible reporting through mid-2026, supporting trader consensus that such an event remains highly improbable before 2027. The system's opacity and emphasis on loyalty further reduce the likelihood of detectable plots. Potential shifts could still arise from Xi's health developments, severe economic pressures eroding elite cohesion ahead of the 2027 Party Congress, or unforeseen factional realignments within the military.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено4% шанс
$153,750 Обс.
$153,750 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
4% шанс
$153,750 Обс.
$153,750 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping maintains firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army through repeated high-level purges, including the early 2026 removal of senior generals such as Zhang Youxia framed officially as anti-corruption measures rather than responses to organized opposition. No verified coup attempts or credible challenges to central authority have surfaced in official channels or credible reporting through mid-2026, supporting trader consensus that such an event remains highly improbable before 2027. The system's opacity and emphasis on loyalty further reduce the likelihood of detectable plots. Potential shifts could still arise from Xi's health developments, severe economic pressures eroding elite cohesion ahead of the 2027 Party Congress, or unforeseen factional realignments within the military.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$153,750Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping maintains firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army through repeated high-level purges, including the early 2026 removal of senior generals such as Zhang Youxia framed officially as anti-corruption measures rather than responses to organized opposition. No verified coup attempts or credible challenges to central authority have surfaced in official channels or credible reporting through mid-2026, supporting trader consensus that such an event remains highly improbable before 2027. The system's opacity and emphasis on loyalty further reduce the likelihood of detectable plots. Potential shifts could still arise from Xi's health developments, severe economic pressures eroding elite cohesion ahead of the 2027 Party Congress, or unforeseen factional realignments within the military.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$153,750Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping maintains firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army through repeated high-level purges, including the early 2026 removal of senior generals such as Zhang Youxia framed officially as anti-corruption measures rather than responses to organized opposition. No verified coup attempts or credible challenges to central authority have surfaced in official channels or credible reporting through mid-2026, supporting trader consensus that such an event remains highly improbable before 2027. The system's opacity and emphasis on loyalty further reduce the likelihood of detectable plots. Potential shifts could still arise from Xi's health developments, severe economic pressures eroding elite cohesion ahead of the 2027 Party Congress, or unforeseen factional realignments within the military.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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