Xi Jinping’s consolidated authority over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army underpins trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Ongoing military purges, including the early 2026 removal of senior generals such as Zhang Youxia, have been framed by analysts as routine anti-corruption enforcement and loyalty enforcement rather than evidence of factional revolt. Repeated unverified rumors of instability have surfaced without producing verifiable challenges to leadership continuity. Structural barriers—including centralized command structures, surveillance mechanisms, and the absence of organized opposition—further reduce the likelihood of such an event. Late-breaking developments like abrupt health crises among senior figures or severe economic shocks could still introduce volatility, though current evidence points to sustained elite cohesion through the 2027 party congress window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$129,839 Обс.
$129,839 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
$129,839 Обс.
$129,839 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s consolidated authority over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army underpins trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Ongoing military purges, including the early 2026 removal of senior generals such as Zhang Youxia, have been framed by analysts as routine anti-corruption enforcement and loyalty enforcement rather than evidence of factional revolt. Repeated unverified rumors of instability have surfaced without producing verifiable challenges to leadership continuity. Structural barriers—including centralized command structures, surveillance mechanisms, and the absence of organized opposition—further reduce the likelihood of such an event. Late-breaking developments like abrupt health crises among senior figures or severe economic shocks could still introduce volatility, though current evidence points to sustained elite cohesion through the 2027 party congress window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$129,839Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s consolidated authority over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army underpins trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Ongoing military purges, including the early 2026 removal of senior generals such as Zhang Youxia, have been framed by analysts as routine anti-corruption enforcement and loyalty enforcement rather than evidence of factional revolt. Repeated unverified rumors of instability have surfaced without producing verifiable challenges to leadership continuity. Structural barriers—including centralized command structures, surveillance mechanisms, and the absence of organized opposition—further reduce the likelihood of such an event. Late-breaking developments like abrupt health crises among senior figures or severe economic shocks could still introduce volatility, though current evidence points to sustained elite cohesion through the 2027 party congress window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$129,839Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s consolidated authority over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army underpins trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Ongoing military purges, including the early 2026 removal of senior generals such as Zhang Youxia, have been framed by analysts as routine anti-corruption enforcement and loyalty enforcement rather than evidence of factional revolt. Repeated unverified rumors of instability have surfaced without producing verifiable challenges to leadership continuity. Structural barriers—including centralized command structures, surveillance mechanisms, and the absence of organized opposition—further reduce the likelihood of such an event. Late-breaking developments like abrupt health crises among senior figures or severe economic shocks could still introduce volatility, though current evidence points to sustained elite cohesion through the 2027 party congress window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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