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CA-19 Primary Winners

icon for CA-19 Primary Winners

CA-19 Primary Winners

НОВЕ
Jun 2, 2026
Polymarket

$3,307 Обс.

Polymarket

Jimmy Panetta

$1,364 Обс.

97%

Peter Verbica

$185 Обс.

32%

Sean Dougherty

$55 Обс.

38%

Tuka Gafari

$106 Обс.

14%

Ana Luz Acevedo-Cabrera

$192 Обс.

4%

Lars Mapstead

$55 Обс.

2%

Thomas Coxe

$1,350 Обс.

2%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Panetta enters the June 2, 2026, top-two primary for California's 19th Congressional District as the clear frontrunner, backed by his established name recognition and the district's strong Democratic lean across Monterey, Santa Clara, Santa Cruz, and San Luis Obispo counties. Filing closed in March with a field that includes Democratic challenger Sean Dougherty, Republicans Peter Verbica and Tuka Gafari, plus independent and Libertarian candidates. Recent candidate forums have highlighted differences on housing costs, foreign policy spending, and donor influence, though Panetta has faced limited organized opposition. With the nonpartisan system advancing the top two vote-getters to November regardless of party, trader consensus reflects expectations that Panetta will advance alongside one other contender, most likely a Republican given the modest GOP field and low Democratic primary competition. No major late developments have altered this positioning in the final week before the vote.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$3,307
Дата завершення
Jun 2, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 27, 2026, 11:53 AM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democrat Jimmy Panetta enters the June 2, 2026, top-two primary for California's 19th Congressional District as the clear frontrunner, backed by his established name recognition and the district's strong Democratic lean across Monterey, Santa Clara, Santa Cruz, and San Luis Obispo counties. Filing closed in March with a field that includes Democratic challenger Sean Dougherty, Republicans Peter Verbica and Tuka Gafari, plus independent and Libertarian candidates. Recent candidate forums have highlighted differences on housing costs, foreign policy spending, and donor influence, though Panetta has faced limited organized opposition. With the nonpartisan system advancing the top two vote-getters to November regardless of party, trader consensus reflects expectations that Panetta will advance alongside one other contender, most likely a Republican given the modest GOP field and low Democratic primary competition. No major late developments have altered this positioning in the final week before the vote.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$3,307
Дата завершення
Jun 2, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 27, 2026, 11:53 AM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«CA-19 Primary Winners» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 7 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Jimmy Panetta» з 97%, далі «Sean Dougherty» з 38%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«CA-19 Primary Winners» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений May 27, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «CA-19 Primary Winners», перегляньте 7 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «CA-19 Primary Winners» — «Jimmy Panetta» з 97%. Наступний — «Sean Dougherty» з 38%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «CA-19 Primary Winners» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.