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icon for Biden drops out by July 4?

Biden drops out by July 4?

icon for Biden drops out by July 4?

Biden drops out by July 4?

>99% шанс
Polymarket

$4,490,152 Обс.

>99% шанс
Polymarket

$4,490,152 Обс.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Joe Biden officially announces his withdrawal or is confirmed to have withdrawn from the 2024 US presidential race between the start of the first presidential debate (currently scheduled for June 27, 2024) and July 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent Joe Biden from continuing the race between the start of the first debate and the resolution date, this market will also resolve to "Yes". If Joe Biden does not drop out or is not forced to withdraw from the 2024 Presidential Election by July 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." If the first presidential debate is postponed to a date after July 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or is cancelled altogether, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Joe Biden and/or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Joe Biden officially announces his withdrawal or is confirmed to have withdrawn from the 2024 US presidential race between the start of the first presidential debate (currently scheduled for June 27, 2024) and July 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.

In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent Joe Biden from continuing the race between the start of the first debate and the resolution date, this market will also resolve to "Yes".

If Joe Biden does not drop out or is not forced to withdraw from the 2024 Presidential Election by July 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No."

If the first presidential debate is postponed to a date after July 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or is cancelled altogether, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Joe Biden and/or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$4,490,152
Дата завершення
Jul 4, 2024
Ринок відкрито
Jun 7, 2024, 3:01 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Joe Biden officially announces his withdrawal or is confirmed to have withdrawn from the 2024 US presidential race between the start of the first presidential debate (currently scheduled for June 27, 2024) and July 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent Joe Biden from continuing the race between the start of the first debate and the resolution date, this market will also resolve to "Yes". If Joe Biden does not drop out or is not forced to withdraw from the 2024 Presidential Election by July 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." If the first presidential debate is postponed to a date after July 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or is cancelled altogether, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Joe Biden and/or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Результат запропоновано: No

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Joe Biden officially announces his withdrawal or is confirmed to have withdrawn from the 2024 US presidential race between the start of the first presidential debate (currently scheduled for June 27, 2024) and July 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent Joe Biden from continuing the race between the start of the first debate and the resolution date, this market will also resolve to "Yes". If Joe Biden does not drop out or is not forced to withdraw from the 2024 Presidential Election by July 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." If the first presidential debate is postponed to a date after July 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or is cancelled altogether, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Joe Biden and/or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Joe Biden officially announces his withdrawal or is confirmed to have withdrawn from the 2024 US presidential race between the start of the first presidential debate (currently scheduled for June 27, 2024) and July 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.

In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent Joe Biden from continuing the race between the start of the first debate and the resolution date, this market will also resolve to "Yes".

If Joe Biden does not drop out or is not forced to withdraw from the 2024 Presidential Election by July 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No."

If the first presidential debate is postponed to a date after July 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or is cancelled altogether, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Joe Biden and/or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$4,490,152
Дата завершення
Jul 7, 2024
Ринок відкрито
Jun 7, 2024, 3:01 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Joe Biden officially announces his withdrawal or is confirmed to have withdrawn from the 2024 US presidential race between the start of the first presidential debate (currently scheduled for June 27, 2024) and July 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent Joe Biden from continuing the race between the start of the first debate and the resolution date, this market will also resolve to "Yes". If Joe Biden does not drop out or is not forced to withdraw from the 2024 Presidential Election by July 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." If the first presidential debate is postponed to a date after July 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or is cancelled altogether, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Joe Biden and/or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Результат запропоновано: No

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: No

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Biden drops out by July 4? » — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 0% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 0¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 0%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Biden drops out by July 4? » згенерував $4.5 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jun 7, 2024. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Biden drops out by July 4? », просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Biden drops out by July 4? » — 0% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 0% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Biden drops out by July 4? » точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.