Recent U.S. Drought Monitor data through early October show approximately 21% of corn production area in moderate or worse drought (D1+), aligning with trader emphasis on the 15-24% bin. Persistent dryness across parts of the Midwest and Plains, combined with variable late-season rainfall that improved some northern and western zones while leaving southern areas stressed, has kept levels in this range. USDA crop progress reports note corn conditions slipping to 54% good-to-excellent amid harvest delays from heavy rains, though overall acreage exposure remains moderate relative to historical mid-October baselines. The next weekly Drought Monitor update and USDA surveillance will provide key resolution inputs for the October 13 period.
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