Elon Musk's posting pace through mid-August 2026 has centered trader attention on the 220-239 tweet bin, currently implied at 40.5%. Daily counts in the 12-22 range earlier in the month, combined with heightened activity on August 20 promoting Grok features and SpaceX updates, have supported the current midpoint. Multiple replies and standalone posts in a single day illustrate the burst potential that could push totals toward the upper end of the leading range or into 240-259. With the window closing August 21, final volume hinges on whether promotional threads and real-time commentary sustain or taper off, leaving lower bins like 200-219 as the main alternative if activity normalizes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено240-259 37.4%
260-279 22.9%
220-239 20.2%
280-299 9.4%
$3,517,149 Обс.
$3,517,149 Обс.
Aug 21, 2026
180-199
<1%
200-219
3%
220-239
20%
240-259
37%
260-279
23%
280-299
9%
300-319
4%
320-339
1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
240-259 37.4%
260-279 22.9%
220-239 20.2%
280-299 9.4%
$3,517,149 Обс.
$3,517,149 Обс.
Aug 21, 2026
180-199
$339,324 Обс.
<1%
200-219
$241,372 Обс.
3%
220-239
$206,777 Обс.
20%
240-259
$230,998 Обс.
37%
260-279
$232,634 Обс.
23%
280-299
$207,007 Обс.
9%
300-319
$168,074 Обс.
4%
320-339
$182,222 Обс.
1%
340-359
$96,444 Обс.
<1%
360-379
$90,443 Обс.
<1%
380-399
$73,538 Обс.
<1%
400-419
$49,243 Обс.
<1%
420-439
$22,628 Обс.
<1%
440-459
$21,631 Обс.
<1%
460-479
$7,646 Обс.
<1%
480-499
$7,646 Обс.
<1%
500+
$49,717 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's posting pace through mid-August 2026 has centered trader attention on the 220-239 tweet bin, currently implied at 40.5%. Daily counts in the 12-22 range earlier in the month, combined with heightened activity on August 20 promoting Grok features and SpaceX updates, have supported the current midpoint. Multiple replies and standalone posts in a single day illustrate the burst potential that could push totals toward the upper end of the leading range or into 240-259. With the window closing August 21, final volume hinges on whether promotional threads and real-time commentary sustain or taper off, leaving lower bins like 200-219 as the main alternative if activity normalizes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,517,149Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's posting pace through mid-August 2026 has centered trader attention on the 220-239 tweet bin, currently implied at 40.5%. Daily counts in the 12-22 range earlier in the month, combined with heightened activity on August 20 promoting Grok features and SpaceX updates, have supported the current midpoint. Multiple replies and standalone posts in a single day illustrate the burst potential that could push totals toward the upper end of the leading range or into 240-259. With the window closing August 21, final volume hinges on whether promotional threads and real-time commentary sustain or taper off, leaving lower bins like 200-219 as the main alternative if activity normalizes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Обсяг
$3,517,149Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's posting pace through mid-August 2026 has centered trader attention on the 220-239 tweet bin, currently implied at 40.5%. Daily counts in the 12-22 range earlier in the month, combined with heightened activity on August 20 promoting Grok features and SpaceX updates, have supported the current midpoint. Multiple replies and standalone posts in a single day illustrate the burst potential that could push totals toward the upper end of the leading range or into 240-259. With the window closing August 21, final volume hinges on whether promotional threads and real-time commentary sustain or taper off, leaving lower bins like 200-219 as the main alternative if activity normalizes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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