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Next James Bond actor?

icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

Callum Turner 34%

Jacob Elordi 10%

Josh O'Connor 6.8%

No Bond chosen 6%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Callum Turner 34%

Jacob Elordi 10%

Josh O'Connor 6.8%

No Bond chosen 6%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Callum Turner

$140 Обс.

35%

Jacob Elordi

$96 Обс.

10%

Josh O'Connor

$96 Обс.

7%

No Bond chosen

$96 Обс.

6%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$304 Обс.

6%

James Norton

$90 Обс.

5%

Robert James-Collier

$85 Обс.

5%

Harris Dickinson

$101 Обс.

5%

Henry Cavill

$89 Обс.

4%

Tom Holland

$87 Обс.

4%

Jack Lowdon

$85 Обс.

4%

Michael B Jordan

$101 Обс.

3%

Timothee Chalamet

$116 Обс.

3%

Tom Hardy

$85 Обс.

3%

Theo James

$171 Обс.

3%

Paul Mescal

$128 Обс.

3%

Pierce Brosnan

$104 Обс.

3%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The official launch of auditions for the next James Bond in May 2026, led by casting director Nina Gold under Amazon MGM Studios, has intensified trader focus on established frontrunner Callum Turner at 35% implied probability. His rising profile from prestige projects like Masters of the Air aligns with the studio’s reported preference for a British actor in his 30s who can carry a long franchise run. Jacob Elordi and James Norton follow at single digits amid broader speculation, while the 6% chance of no selection yet reflects the early stage of the process. Recent audition reports, including emerging names like stage actor Tom Francis, underscore an open field without a clear frontrunner beyond Turner’s market lead. Upcoming casting updates and precursor signals will likely drive further shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$1,973
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The official launch of auditions for the next James Bond in May 2026, led by casting director Nina Gold under Amazon MGM Studios, has intensified trader focus on established frontrunner Callum Turner at 35% implied probability. His rising profile from prestige projects like Masters of the Air aligns with the studio’s reported preference for a British actor in his 30s who can carry a long franchise run. Jacob Elordi and James Norton follow at single digits amid broader speculation, while the 6% chance of no selection yet reflects the early stage of the process. Recent audition reports, including emerging names like stage actor Tom Francis, underscore an open field without a clear frontrunner beyond Turner’s market lead. Upcoming casting updates and precursor signals will likely drive further shifts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$1,973
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Next James Bond actor?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 17 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Callum Turner» з 35%, далі «Jacob Elordi» з 10%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Next James Bond actor?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений May 18, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Next James Bond actor?», перегляньте 17 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Next James Bond actor?» — «Callum Turner» з 35%. Наступний — «Jacob Elordi» з 10%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Next James Bond actor?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.