Trader consensus favors "No" at 63.5% implied probability for President Trump wearing a yarmulke in 2026, driven by the absence of verified photographs or videos despite opportunities like the White House Passover reception on April 6 with Jewish leaders and the U.S. Holocaust Memorial Museum's Days of Remembrance ceremony on April 14, where supporters donned Trump-themed kippahs but Trump did not. Recent cancellation of his planned April 22 trip to Israel for Independence Day and the Israel Prize award—previously speculated in March—eliminates a key protocol-driven occasion at sites like the Western Wall. With four months remaining until year-end resolution, no further diplomatic visits or religious events are scheduled, tempering expectations amid his pro-Israel record.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiYENİ
YENİ
31 Ara 2026
YENİ
YENİ
31 Ara 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is photographed or videotaped wearing a Yarmulke/Kippah at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.Trader consensus favors "No" at 63.5% implied probability for President Trump wearing a yarmulke in 2026, driven by the absence of verified photographs or videos despite opportunities like the White House Passover reception on April 6 with Jewish leaders and the U.S. Holocaust Memorial Museum's Days of Remembrance ceremony on April 14, where supporters donned Trump-themed kippahs but Trump did not. Recent cancellation of his planned April 22 trip to Israel for Independence Day and the Israel Prize award—previously speculated in March—eliminates a key protocol-driven occasion at sites like the Western Wall. With four months remaining until year-end resolution, no further diplomatic visits or religious events are scheduled, tempering expectations amid his pro-Israel record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is photographed or videotaped wearing a Yarmulke/Kippah at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.
Piyasa Açıldı: Feb 10, 2026, 6:40 PM ET
Hacim
$8,340Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 10, 2026, 6:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is photographed or videotaped wearing a Yarmulke/Kippah at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.Trader consensus favors "No" at 63.5% implied probability for President Trump wearing a yarmulke in 2026, driven by the absence of verified photographs or videos despite opportunities like the White House Passover reception on April 6 with Jewish leaders and the U.S. Holocaust Memorial Museum's Days of Remembrance ceremony on April 14, where supporters donned Trump-themed kippahs but Trump did not. Recent cancellation of his planned April 22 trip to Israel for Independence Day and the Israel Prize award—previously speculated in March—eliminates a key protocol-driven occasion at sites like the Western Wall. With four months remaining until year-end resolution, no further diplomatic visits or religious events are scheduled, tempering expectations amid his pro-Israel record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is photographed or videotaped wearing a Yarmulke/Kippah at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.
Hacim
$8,340Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 10, 2026, 6:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors "No" at 63.5% implied probability for President Trump wearing a yarmulke in 2026, driven by the absence of verified photographs or videos despite opportunities like the White House Passover reception on April 6 with Jewish leaders and the U.S. Holocaust Memorial Museum's Days of Remembrance ceremony on April 14, where supporters donned Trump-themed kippahs but Trump did not. Recent cancellation of his planned April 22 trip to Israel for Independence Day and the Israel Prize award—previously speculated in March—eliminates a key protocol-driven occasion at sites like the Western Wall. With four months remaining until year-end resolution, no further diplomatic visits or religious events are scheduled, tempering expectations amid his pro-Israel record.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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