Recent marathon US-Iran talks in Islamabad collapsed after 21 hours last weekend, with Iran rejecting President Trump's demands for full nuclear facility access, an end to uranium enrichment, and broader de-escalation, prompting US warnings of renewed blockades in the Strait of Hormuz and airstrikes. Iranian officials confirmed yesterday no date for further negotiations, citing deep distrust and wide gaps on enrichment duration—US seeking 20 years versus Tehran's shorter timeline—and handling of highly enriched stockpiles. With the April 30 deadline 11 days away and fragile ceasefires at risk post-April 21 expiration, traders reflect the "wisdom of crowds" in 63% "No" odds, drawing on JCPOA's multi-year precedent amid stalled diplomacy and escalation risks.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi30 Nisan'a kadar ABD - İran nükleer anlaşması?
30 Nisan'a kadar ABD - İran nükleer anlaşması?
Evet
$1,571,720 Hac.
$1,571,720 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
Evet
$1,571,720 Hac.
$1,571,720 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent marathon US-Iran talks in Islamabad collapsed after 21 hours last weekend, with Iran rejecting President Trump's demands for full nuclear facility access, an end to uranium enrichment, and broader de-escalation, prompting US warnings of renewed blockades in the Strait of Hormuz and airstrikes. Iranian officials confirmed yesterday no date for further negotiations, citing deep distrust and wide gaps on enrichment duration—US seeking 20 years versus Tehran's shorter timeline—and handling of highly enriched stockpiles. With the April 30 deadline 11 days away and fragile ceasefires at risk post-April 21 expiration, traders reflect the "wisdom of crowds" in 63% "No" odds, drawing on JCPOA's multi-year precedent amid stalled diplomacy and escalation risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 9, 2026, 4:56 PM ET
Hacim
$1,571,720Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 9, 2026, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent marathon US-Iran talks in Islamabad collapsed after 21 hours last weekend, with Iran rejecting President Trump's demands for full nuclear facility access, an end to uranium enrichment, and broader de-escalation, prompting US warnings of renewed blockades in the Strait of Hormuz and airstrikes. Iranian officials confirmed yesterday no date for further negotiations, citing deep distrust and wide gaps on enrichment duration—US seeking 20 years versus Tehran's shorter timeline—and handling of highly enriched stockpiles. With the April 30 deadline 11 days away and fragile ceasefires at risk post-April 21 expiration, traders reflect the "wisdom of crowds" in 63% "No" odds, drawing on JCPOA's multi-year precedent amid stalled diplomacy and escalation risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Hacim
$1,571,720Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 9, 2026, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent marathon US-Iran talks in Islamabad collapsed after 21 hours last weekend, with Iran rejecting President Trump's demands for full nuclear facility access, an end to uranium enrichment, and broader de-escalation, prompting US warnings of renewed blockades in the Strait of Hormuz and airstrikes. Iranian officials confirmed yesterday no date for further negotiations, citing deep distrust and wide gaps on enrichment duration—US seeking 20 years versus Tehran's shorter timeline—and handling of highly enriched stockpiles. With the April 30 deadline 11 days away and fragile ceasefires at risk post-April 21 expiration, traders reflect the "wisdom of crowds" in 63% "No" odds, drawing on JCPOA's multi-year precedent amid stalled diplomacy and escalation risks.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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