Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 75% implied probability that President Trump will issue an executive order, proclamation, or other formal action fully or partially suspending U.S. entry for nationals of additional countries beyond the December 16, 2025, baseline expansion—yet only 16% odds by June 30, signaling caution on near-term action despite aggressive immigration enforcement. The January 2026 State Department pause on immigrant visa processing for 75 high-risk countries for public charge grounds fell short of broad entry suspensions, as did the April 16 announcement expanding targeted visa ineligibility in the Western Hemisphere to individuals aiding U.S. adversaries and their families. Ongoing border security priorities and national security assessments continue to drive expectations for further restrictions later in 2026, with no scheduled hearings or deadlines imminent.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiTrump, daha fazla ülke için ABD'ye girişini...?
Trump, daha fazla ülke için ABD'ye girişini...?
June 30
21%
December 31, 2026
76%
$7,235 Hac.
June 30
21%
December 31, 2026
76%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order, signs any bill into law, or if the Trump administration otherwise takes any formal action which is aimed at fully or partially suspending entry into the U.S. for nationals of any specific, additional country between market issuance and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying action must be aimed at restricting or banning entry into the United States for nationals of a particular country or countries. Blanket actions to restrict entry for individuals holding certain visa classes, or other generalized entry restrictions, which do not target a specific country or countries, will not count.
Additional country refers to any country not subject to a full or partial suspension of entry as of the December 16 proclamation.
Any qualifying government action taken within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the policy takes effect. However, announcements of future or planned bans which are not made official through government action will not qualify.
Any action meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 18, 2025, 5:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues any executive order, signs any bill into law, or if the Trump administration otherwise takes any formal action which is aimed at fully or partially suspending entry into the U.S. for nationals of any specific, additional country between market issuance and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying action must be aimed at restricting or banning entry into the United States for nationals of a particular country or countries. Blanket actions to restrict entry for individuals holding certain visa classes, or other generalized entry restrictions, which do not target a specific country or countries, will not count.
Additional country refers to any country not subject to a full or partial suspension of entry as of the December 16 proclamation.
Any qualifying government action taken within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the policy takes effect. However, announcements of future or planned bans which are not made official through government action will not qualify.
Any action meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 75% implied probability that President Trump will issue an executive order, proclamation, or other formal action fully or partially suspending U.S. entry for nationals of additional countries beyond the December 16, 2025, baseline expansion—yet only 16% odds by June 30, signaling caution on near-term action despite aggressive immigration enforcement. The January 2026 State Department pause on immigrant visa processing for 75 high-risk countries for public charge grounds fell short of broad entry suspensions, as did the April 16 announcement expanding targeted visa ineligibility in the Western Hemisphere to individuals aiding U.S. adversaries and their families. Ongoing border security priorities and national security assessments continue to drive expectations for further restrictions later in 2026, with no scheduled hearings or deadlines imminent.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular