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Siyaset·Küresel Seçimler

İsveç Parlamento Seçimi Kazananı

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Siyaset·Küresel Seçimler

İsveç Parlamento Seçimi Kazananı

İsveç Sosyal Demokrat Partisi (S) 89%

Ilımlı Parti (M) 5.5%

İsveç Demokratları (SD) 5.1%

Yeşiller Partisi (MP) <1%

Polymarket

$1,086,063 Hac.

İsveç Sosyal Demokrat Partisi (S) 89%

Ilımlı Parti (M) 5.5%

İsveç Demokratları (SD) 5.1%

Yeşiller Partisi (MP) <1%

Polymarket

$1,086,063 Hac.

İsveç Sosyal Demokrat Partisi (S), 2026 İsveç parlamento seçimlerinde en fazla sandalyeyi kazanacak mı? icon

İsveç Sosyal Demokrat Partisi (S)

$32,092 Hac.

89%

2026 İsveç parlamento seçimlerinde Ilımlı Parti (M) en fazla sandalyeyi kazanacak mı? icon

Ilımlı Parti (M)

$377,327 Hac.

6%

İsveç Demokratları (SD), 2026 İsveç parlamento seçimlerinde en fazla sandalyeyi kazanacak mı? icon

İsveç Demokratları (SD)

$509,486 Hac.

5%

Yeşiller Partisi (MP) 2026 İsveç parlamento seçimlerinde en fazla sandalyeyi kazanacak mı? icon

Yeşiller Partisi (MP)

$93,267 Hac.

1%

Sol Parti (V), 2026 İsveç parlamento seçimlerinde en fazla sandalyeyi kazanacak mı? icon

Sol Parti (V)

$14,933 Hac.

<1%

Vatandaşlar Koalisyonu (MED), 2026 İsveç parlamento seçimlerinde en fazla sandalye kazanacak mı? icon

Vatandaşlar Koalisyonu (MED)

$13,476 Hac.

<1%

Merkez Parti (C), 2026 İsveç parlamento seçimlerinde en fazla sandalyeyi kazanacak mı? icon

Merkez Parti (C)

$16,497 Hac.

<1%

2026 İsveç parlamento seçimlerinde Hristiyan Demokratlar (KD) en fazla sandalyeyi kazanacak mı? icon

Hristiyan Demokratlar (KD)

$14,419 Hac.

<1%

Liberal Parti (L), 2026 İsveç parlamento seçimlerinde en çok sandalyeyi kazanacak mı? icon

Liberal Parti (L)

$14,567 Hac.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) commands overwhelming trader consensus at 88.5% implied probability of topping the September 13, 2026 Riksdag vote share, driven by consistent 31-33% support in polls from Verian (March 23-April 5), Kantar-Sifo (April 11), and others—14-16 points ahead of nearest rivals Moderate Party (M) at 17% or Sweden Democrats (SD) at 20%. This reflects sustained dissatisfaction with the incumbent Tidö government's economic policies and leadership, evidenced by prime minister preference polls favoring Magdalena Andersson (36%) over Ulf Kristersson (16%) and Jimmie Åkesson (15%). Stable trends across major pollsters underscore S's path to most seats under proportional representation, though late scandals or bloc shifts could narrow the gap. M and SD vie for slim secondary chances amid right-bloc struggles.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.

If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Hacim
$1,086,063
Bitiş Tarihi
13 Eyl 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) commands overwhelming trader consensus at 88.5% implied probability of topping the September 13, 2026 Riksdag vote share, driven by consistent 31-33% support in polls from Verian (March 23-April 5), Kantar-Sifo (April 11), and others—14-16 points ahead of nearest rivals Moderate Party (M) at 17% or Sweden Democrats (SD) at 20%. This reflects sustained dissatisfaction with the incumbent Tidö government's economic policies and leadership, evidenced by prime minister preference polls favoring Magdalena Andersson (36%) over Ulf Kristersson (16%) and Jimmie Åkesson (15%). Stable trends across major pollsters underscore S's path to most seats under proportional representation, though late scandals or bloc shifts could narrow the gap. M and SD vie for slim secondary chances amid right-bloc struggles.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.

If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Hacim
$1,086,063
Bitiş Tarihi
13 Eyl 2026
Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"İsveç Parlamento Seçimi Kazananı", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 9 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 89% ile "İsveç Sosyal Demokrat Partisi (S)", ardından 6% ile "Ilımlı Parti (M)" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 89¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 89% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "İsveç Parlamento Seçimi Kazananı" toplam $1.1 million işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Dec 4, 2025 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"İsveç Parlamento Seçimi Kazananı" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 9 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"İsveç Parlamento Seçimi Kazananı" için mevcut favori 89% ile "İsveç Sosyal Demokrat Partisi (S)"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 89% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 6% ile "Ilımlı Parti (M)"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"İsveç Parlamento Seçimi Kazananı" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.