The SAVE Act (H.R. 22), requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House on April 10, 2025, but has stalled in the Senate without a vote or committee advancement for over a year. Despite Republican majorities in both chambers (House 217-213, Senate 53-47 including independents) and President Trump's support for election integrity measures, Democratic senators have blocked unanimous consent attempts and criticized the bill as voter suppression, citing barriers for millions without easy access to documents like passports or birth certificates. With no floor vote scheduled amid a packed legislative calendar leading to 2026 midterms, traders see filibuster risks and procedural delays as major hurdles to enactment by year-end, pricing an 86.5% "No" probability.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiEvet
$151,953 Hac.
$151,953 Hac.
Evet
$151,953 Hac.
$151,953 Hac.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The SAVE Act (H.R. 22), requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House on April 10, 2025, but has stalled in the Senate without a vote or committee advancement for over a year. Despite Republican majorities in both chambers (House 217-213, Senate 53-47 including independents) and President Trump's support for election integrity measures, Democratic senators have blocked unanimous consent attempts and criticized the bill as voter suppression, citing barriers for millions without easy access to documents like passports or birth certificates. With no floor vote scheduled amid a packed legislative calendar leading to 2026 midterms, traders see filibuster risks and procedural delays as major hurdles to enactment by year-end, pricing an 86.5% "No" probability.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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