Trader consensus reflects a 91.5% implied probability against former Prince Andrew (now Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor) receiving a prison sentence, driven by the absence of formal criminal charges two months after his February 19, 2026, arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to Jeffrey Epstein files alleging he shared confidential trade envoy documents. Released after 11 hours of questioning, he remains under Thames Valley Police investigation with Crown Prosecution Service providing early investigative advice as of early April, signaling a preliminary stage unlikely to yield rapid indictment. Recent Epstein document releases and calls for further honors revocation have not advanced the probe to charging or trial, underscoring significant evidentiary hurdles despite the offense's life maximum sentence; late-breaking evidence or prosecutorial escalation could still shift odds.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiEvet
$206,455 Hac.
$206,455 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
Evet
$206,455 Hac.
$206,455 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects a 91.5% implied probability against former Prince Andrew (now Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor) receiving a prison sentence, driven by the absence of formal criminal charges two months after his February 19, 2026, arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to Jeffrey Epstein files alleging he shared confidential trade envoy documents. Released after 11 hours of questioning, he remains under Thames Valley Police investigation with Crown Prosecution Service providing early investigative advice as of early April, signaling a preliminary stage unlikely to yield rapid indictment. Recent Epstein document releases and calls for further honors revocation have not advanced the probe to charging or trial, underscoring significant evidentiary hurdles despite the offense's life maximum sentence; late-breaking evidence or prosecutorial escalation could still shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ET
Hacim
$206,455Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects a 91.5% implied probability against former Prince Andrew (now Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor) receiving a prison sentence, driven by the absence of formal criminal charges two months after his February 19, 2026, arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to Jeffrey Epstein files alleging he shared confidential trade envoy documents. Released after 11 hours of questioning, he remains under Thames Valley Police investigation with Crown Prosecution Service providing early investigative advice as of early April, signaling a preliminary stage unlikely to yield rapid indictment. Recent Epstein document releases and calls for further honors revocation have not advanced the probe to charging or trial, underscoring significant evidentiary hurdles despite the offense's life maximum sentence; late-breaking evidence or prosecutorial escalation could still shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$206,455Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects a 91.5% implied probability against former Prince Andrew (now Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor) receiving a prison sentence, driven by the absence of formal criminal charges two months after his February 19, 2026, arrest on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to Jeffrey Epstein files alleging he shared confidential trade envoy documents. Released after 11 hours of questioning, he remains under Thames Valley Police investigation with Crown Prosecution Service providing early investigative advice as of early April, signaling a preliminary stage unlikely to yield rapid indictment. Recent Epstein document releases and calls for further honors revocation have not advanced the probe to charging or trial, underscoring significant evidentiary hurdles despite the offense's life maximum sentence; late-breaking evidence or prosecutorial escalation could still shift odds.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.
Sıkça Sorulan Sorular