Trader consensus heavily favors a Republican victory at 93% implied probability for Oklahoma's 2026 U.S. Senate race, reflecting the state's deep-red partisan makeup, where Donald Trump carried over 65% in 2024 and Republicans have won every Senate contest since 1994 amid GOP supermajorities in state legislature and statewide offices. Incumbent James Lankford benefits from strong reelection positioning after surviving a 2022 primary challenge, while Democrats lack a competitive contender amid weak fundraising and polling base rates. President Trump's early March appointment of Sen. Markwayne Mullin as DHS Secretary opens a concurrent special election for his seat but highlights Republican depth rather than vulnerability. Disruptions would require a nominee scandal, fractured GOP primary, or national Democratic wave before June primaries and the November 3 general election.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiOklahoma Senatosu Seçim Galibi
Oklahoma Senatosu Seçim Galibi
$11,921 Hac.
$11,921 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
Cumhuriyetçi
93%
Demokrat
6%
$11,921 Hac.
$11,921 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
Cumhuriyetçi
$6,911 Hac.
93%
Demokrat
$5,011 Hac.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus heavily favors a Republican victory at 93% implied probability for Oklahoma's 2026 U.S. Senate race, reflecting the state's deep-red partisan makeup, where Donald Trump carried over 65% in 2024 and Republicans have won every Senate contest since 1994 amid GOP supermajorities in state legislature and statewide offices. Incumbent James Lankford benefits from strong reelection positioning after surviving a 2022 primary challenge, while Democrats lack a competitive contender amid weak fundraising and polling base rates. President Trump's early March appointment of Sen. Markwayne Mullin as DHS Secretary opens a concurrent special election for his seat but highlights Republican depth rather than vulnerability. Disruptions would require a nominee scandal, fractured GOP primary, or national Democratic wave before June primaries and the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Piyasa Açıldı: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Hacim
$11,921Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus heavily favors a Republican victory at 93% implied probability for Oklahoma's 2026 U.S. Senate race, reflecting the state's deep-red partisan makeup, where Donald Trump carried over 65% in 2024 and Republicans have won every Senate contest since 1994 amid GOP supermajorities in state legislature and statewide offices. Incumbent James Lankford benefits from strong reelection positioning after surviving a 2022 primary challenge, while Democrats lack a competitive contender amid weak fundraising and polling base rates. President Trump's early March appointment of Sen. Markwayne Mullin as DHS Secretary opens a concurrent special election for his seat but highlights Republican depth rather than vulnerability. Disruptions would require a nominee scandal, fractured GOP primary, or national Democratic wave before June primaries and the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Hacim
$11,921Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors a Republican victory at 93% implied probability for Oklahoma's 2026 U.S. Senate race, reflecting the state's deep-red partisan makeup, where Donald Trump carried over 65% in 2024 and Republicans have won every Senate contest since 1994 amid GOP supermajorities in state legislature and statewide offices. Incumbent James Lankford benefits from strong reelection positioning after surviving a 2022 primary challenge, while Democrats lack a competitive contender amid weak fundraising and polling base rates. President Trump's early March appointment of Sen. Markwayne Mullin as DHS Secretary opens a concurrent special election for his seat but highlights Republican depth rather than vulnerability. Disruptions would require a nominee scandal, fractured GOP primary, or national Democratic wave before June primaries and the November 3 general election.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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