Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 90.3% for Barack Obama arrested before 2027, driven by the absence of any formal DOJ charges, indictment, or arrest warrant against the former president despite probes into Obama-era officials over 2016 Russia investigation origins. Launched in August 2025 by Attorney General Pam Bondi after DNI Tulsi Gabbard's declassifications alleging misconduct by figures like James Comey and John Brennan, the grand jury review has advanced no criminal case against Obama himself amid evidentiary hurdles, potential statute of limitations issues, and historical reluctance to prosecute ex-presidents. President Trump's repeated calls for arrest and shared AI videos have amplified rhetoric but yielded no prosecutorial action, with legal experts noting slim odds barring unforeseen evidence or rulings.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiYENİ
YENİ
31 Ara 2026
YENİ
YENİ
31 Ara 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 90.3% for Barack Obama arrested before 2027, driven by the absence of any formal DOJ charges, indictment, or arrest warrant against the former president despite probes into Obama-era officials over 2016 Russia investigation origins. Launched in August 2025 by Attorney General Pam Bondi after DNI Tulsi Gabbard's declassifications alleging misconduct by figures like James Comey and John Brennan, the grand jury review has advanced no criminal case against Obama himself amid evidentiary hurdles, potential statute of limitations issues, and historical reluctance to prosecute ex-presidents. President Trump's repeated calls for arrest and shared AI videos have amplified rhetoric but yielded no prosecutorial action, with legal experts noting slim odds barring unforeseen evidence or rulings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Nov 5, 2025, 1:40 PM ET
Hacim
$4,096Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 5, 2025, 1:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 90.3% for Barack Obama arrested before 2027, driven by the absence of any formal DOJ charges, indictment, or arrest warrant against the former president despite probes into Obama-era officials over 2016 Russia investigation origins. Launched in August 2025 by Attorney General Pam Bondi after DNI Tulsi Gabbard's declassifications alleging misconduct by figures like James Comey and John Brennan, the grand jury review has advanced no criminal case against Obama himself amid evidentiary hurdles, potential statute of limitations issues, and historical reluctance to prosecute ex-presidents. President Trump's repeated calls for arrest and shared AI videos have amplified rhetoric but yielded no prosecutorial action, with legal experts noting slim odds barring unforeseen evidence or rulings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$4,096Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 5, 2025, 1:40 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices "No" at 90.3% for Barack Obama arrested before 2027, driven by the absence of any formal DOJ charges, indictment, or arrest warrant against the former president despite probes into Obama-era officials over 2016 Russia investigation origins. Launched in August 2025 by Attorney General Pam Bondi after DNI Tulsi Gabbard's declassifications alleging misconduct by figures like James Comey and John Brennan, the grand jury review has advanced no criminal case against Obama himself amid evidentiary hurdles, potential statute of limitations issues, and historical reluctance to prosecute ex-presidents. President Trump's repeated calls for arrest and shared AI videos have amplified rhetoric but yielded no prosecutorial action, with legal experts noting slim odds barring unforeseen evidence or rulings.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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