A US-Israel air campaign against Iran, launched February 28 targeting nuclear sites, leadership, and missile facilities, prompted Iranian retaliation including Strait of Hormuz disruptions and strikes on Gulf allies. After over five weeks of escalation, a Pakistan-brokered two-week ceasefire took effect April 8, suspending major hostilities and enabling Islamabad talks on Iran's nuclear program and naval blockade lift, though Israel maintains operations in Lebanon outside its scope. President Trump warned of resumed airstrikes absent a deal by the April 22 expiration, while congressional bids to restrict further military action failed. Iran retains drone and missile stockpiles despite US claims of 90% degradation in projection power, fueling trader uncertainty over de-escalation.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendiİran'a karşı askeri eylem... ile sona eriyor mu?
İran'a karşı askeri eylem... ile sona eriyor mu?
$31,804,712 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
1 Nisan
Hayır
2 Nisan
Hayır
3 Nisan
Hayır
4 Nisan
Hayır
5 Nisan
Hayır
6 Nisan
Hayır
7 Nisan
Hayır
8 Nisan
Hayır
9 Nisan
Evet
10 Nisan
Evet
11 Nisan
Evet
12 Nisan
Evet
13 Nisan
Evet
14 Nisan
Evet
15 Nisan
Evet
16 Nisan
Evet
17 Nisan
Evet
18 Nisan
Evet
19 Nisan
Evet
20 Nisan
Evet
21 Nisan
Evet
22 Nisan
Evet
23 Nisan
Evet
24 Nisan
Evet
25 Nisan
Evet
26 Nisan
Evet
27 Nisan
Evet
28 Nisan
Evet
29 Nisan
Evet
30 Nisan
Evet
$31,804,712 Hac.
1 Nisan
$10,254 Hac.
Hayır
2 Nisan
$11,401 Hac.
Hayır
3 Nisan
$8,242 Hac.
Hayır
4 Nisan
$5,242 Hac.
Hayır
5 Nisan
$3,932 Hac.
Hayır
6 Nisan
$13,964 Hac.
Hayır
7 Nisan
$3,627 Hac.
Hayır
8 Nisan
$13,689 Hac.
Hayır
9 Nisan
$237,471 Hac.
Evet
10 Nisan
$16,446 Hac.
Evet
11 Nisan
$32,861 Hac.
Evet
12 Nisan
$81,597 Hac.
Evet
13 Nisan
$93,184 Hac.
Evet
14 Nisan
$127,016 Hac.
Evet
15 Nisan
$101,486 Hac.
Evet
16 Nisan
$116,607 Hac.
Evet
17 Nisan
$28,778,655 Hac.
Evet
18 Nisan
$134,016 Hac.
Evet
19 Nisan
$64,443 Hac.
Evet
20 Nisan
$78,125 Hac.
Evet
21 Nisan
$80,720 Hac.
Evet
22 Nisan
$145,549 Hac.
Evet
23 Nisan
$99,012 Hac.
Evet
24 Nisan
$85,329 Hac.
Evet
25 Nisan
$104,695 Hac.
Evet
26 Nisan
$97,519 Hac.
Evet
27 Nisan
$97,649 Hac.
Evet
28 Nisan
$139,058 Hac.
Evet
29 Nisan
$311,523 Hac.
Evet
30 Nisan
$711,400 Hac.
Evet
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.A US-Israel air campaign against Iran, launched February 28 targeting nuclear sites, leadership, and missile facilities, prompted Iranian retaliation including Strait of Hormuz disruptions and strikes on Gulf allies. After over five weeks of escalation, a Pakistan-brokered two-week ceasefire took effect April 8, suspending major hostilities and enabling Islamabad talks on Iran's nuclear program and naval blockade lift, though Israel maintains operations in Lebanon outside its scope. President Trump warned of resumed airstrikes absent a deal by the April 22 expiration, while congressional bids to restrict further military action failed. Iran retains drone and missile stockpiles despite US claims of 90% degradation in projection power, fueling trader uncertainty over de-escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 27, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Hacim
$31,804,712Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 27, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Sonuç önerildi: Hayır
İtiraz yok
Kesin sonuç: Hayır
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.A US-Israel air campaign against Iran, launched February 28 targeting nuclear sites, leadership, and missile facilities, prompted Iranian retaliation including Strait of Hormuz disruptions and strikes on Gulf allies. After over five weeks of escalation, a Pakistan-brokered two-week ceasefire took effect April 8, suspending major hostilities and enabling Islamabad talks on Iran's nuclear program and naval blockade lift, though Israel maintains operations in Lebanon outside its scope. President Trump warned of resumed airstrikes absent a deal by the April 22 expiration, while congressional bids to restrict further military action failed. Iran retains drone and missile stockpiles despite US claims of 90% degradation in projection power, fueling trader uncertainty over de-escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if neither the US nor Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate on a full calendar day by the listed date, Iran Standard Time (GMT+3:30). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar day after the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US or Israeli military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US/Israeli missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be considered, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US/Israeli ground operatives will not be considered.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Hacim
$31,804,712Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 27, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Sonuç önerildi: Hayır
İtiraz yok
Kesin sonuç: Hayır
A US-Israel air campaign against Iran, launched February 28 targeting nuclear sites, leadership, and missile facilities, prompted Iranian retaliation including Strait of Hormuz disruptions and strikes on Gulf allies. After over five weeks of escalation, a Pakistan-brokered two-week ceasefire took effect April 8, suspending major hostilities and enabling Islamabad talks on Iran's nuclear program and naval blockade lift, though Israel maintains operations in Lebanon outside its scope. President Trump warned of resumed airstrikes absent a deal by the April 22 expiration, while congressional bids to restrict further military action failed. Iran retains drone and missile stockpiles despite US claims of 90% degradation in projection power, fueling trader uncertainty over de-escalation.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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