Ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro has been held in pre-trial detention in a New York federal facility since his January 2026 U.S. military capture in Caracas, facing superseding indictments for narcoterrorism, cocaine importation conspiracy, and arms trafficking—charges carrying a mandatory minimum 20-year sentence and up to life imprisonment. A March 26 Southern District of New York hearing saw the judge reject dismissal motions over legal fees and jurisdiction, signaling case progression despite defense claims of head-of-state immunity. With trial potentially delayed into 2027 amid evidentiary disputes and appeals, traders' tight split—35.5% on 60+ months versus 33% no prison time—mirrors uncertainty over conviction strength from prior associate guilty pleas versus procedural hurdles or plea deals; verdict announcements or sentencing rulings could decisively shift odds.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiMaduro Hapishanesi mi?
Maduro Hapishanesi mi?
60+ 36%
Hiç hapis cezası yok 33%
40–60 16%
20–40 6.1%
$497,439 Hac.
$497,439 Hac.
31 Ara 2027
Hiç hapis cezası yok
33%
<20
6%
20–40
6%
40–60
16%
60+
36%
60+ 36%
Hiç hapis cezası yok 33%
40–60 16%
20–40 6.1%
$497,439 Hac.
$497,439 Hac.
31 Ara 2027
Hiç hapis cezası yok
$367,691 Hac.
33%
<20
$36,174 Hac.
6%
20–40
$47,169 Hac.
6%
40–60
$14,832 Hac.
16%
60+
$31,573 Hac.
36%
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro has been held in pre-trial detention in a New York federal facility since his January 2026 U.S. military capture in Caracas, facing superseding indictments for narcoterrorism, cocaine importation conspiracy, and arms trafficking—charges carrying a mandatory minimum 20-year sentence and up to life imprisonment. A March 26 Southern District of New York hearing saw the judge reject dismissal motions over legal fees and jurisdiction, signaling case progression despite defense claims of head-of-state immunity. With trial potentially delayed into 2027 amid evidentiary disputes and appeals, traders' tight split—35.5% on 60+ months versus 33% no prison time—mirrors uncertainty over conviction strength from prior associate guilty pleas versus procedural hurdles or plea deals; verdict announcements or sentencing rulings could decisively shift odds.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
Hacim
$497,439Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2027Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro has been held in pre-trial detention in a New York federal facility since his January 2026 U.S. military capture in Caracas, facing superseding indictments for narcoterrorism, cocaine importation conspiracy, and arms trafficking—charges carrying a mandatory minimum 20-year sentence and up to life imprisonment. A March 26 Southern District of New York hearing saw the judge reject dismissal motions over legal fees and jurisdiction, signaling case progression despite defense claims of head-of-state immunity. With trial potentially delayed into 2027 amid evidentiary disputes and appeals, traders' tight split—35.5% on 60+ months versus 33% no prison time—mirrors uncertainty over conviction strength from prior associate guilty pleas versus procedural hurdles or plea deals; verdict announcements or sentencing rulings could decisively shift odds.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$497,439Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2027Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ousted Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro has been held in pre-trial detention in a New York federal facility since his January 2026 U.S. military capture in Caracas, facing superseding indictments for narcoterrorism, cocaine importation conspiracy, and arms trafficking—charges carrying a mandatory minimum 20-year sentence and up to life imprisonment. A March 26 Southern District of New York hearing saw the judge reject dismissal motions over legal fees and jurisdiction, signaling case progression despite defense claims of head-of-state immunity. With trial potentially delayed into 2027 amid evidentiary disputes and appeals, traders' tight split—35.5% on 60+ months versus 33% no prison time—mirrors uncertainty over conviction strength from prior associate guilty pleas versus procedural hurdles or plea deals; verdict announcements or sentencing rulings could decisively shift odds.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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