Trader consensus reflects a razor-thin UDF-LDF contest following the April 9 Kerala Legislative Assembly election, with 78% voter turnout amplifying uncertainty over IUML's performance across its 27 contested seats. Pre-poll surveys like Matrize-IANS projected UDF at 58–78 seats versus LDF's 53–72, implying IUML's haul hinges on minority consolidation in Malappuram and Kozhikode strongholds—potentially yielding 19–21 if UDF surges, or 13–15 amid LDF resilience and NDA fringe gains. Recent candidate shifts, IUML's push for broader appeal, and communal campaign rows kept dynamics tight; post-polling analyses or leaks could separate outcomes before May 3 results.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiBir sonraki Kerala Yasama Meclisi seçimlerinde IUML kaç sandalye kazanacak?
Bir sonraki Kerala Yasama Meclisi seçimlerinde IUML kaç sandalye kazanacak?
13–15 39%
22+ 7.1%
16–18 1.4%
<10 <1%
$7,735 Hac.
$7,735 Hac.
9 Nis 2026
<10
1%
10–12
40%
13–15
39%
16–18
1%
19–21
52%
22+
20%
13–15 39%
22+ 7.1%
16–18 1.4%
<10 <1%
$7,735 Hac.
$7,735 Hac.
9 Nis 2026
<10
$241 Hac.
1%
10–12
$99 Hac.
40%
13–15
$0 Hac.
39%
16–18
$7,139 Hac.
1%
19–21
$37 Hac.
52%
22+
$220 Hac.
20%
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala.
If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Trader consensus reflects a razor-thin UDF-LDF contest following the April 9 Kerala Legislative Assembly election, with 78% voter turnout amplifying uncertainty over IUML's performance across its 27 contested seats. Pre-poll surveys like Matrize-IANS projected UDF at 58–78 seats versus LDF's 53–72, implying IUML's haul hinges on minority consolidation in Malappuram and Kozhikode strongholds—potentially yielding 19–21 if UDF surges, or 13–15 amid LDF resilience and NDA fringe gains. Recent candidate shifts, IUML's push for broader appeal, and communal campaign rows kept dynamics tight; post-polling analyses or leaks could separate outcomes before May 3 results.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala.
If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala.
If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Piyasa Açıldı: Dec 23, 2025, 4:15 PM ET
Hacim
$7,735Bitiş Tarihi
9 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 23, 2025, 4:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala.
If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Trader consensus reflects a razor-thin UDF-LDF contest following the April 9 Kerala Legislative Assembly election, with 78% voter turnout amplifying uncertainty over IUML's performance across its 27 contested seats. Pre-poll surveys like Matrize-IANS projected UDF at 58–78 seats versus LDF's 53–72, implying IUML's haul hinges on minority consolidation in Malappuram and Kozhikode strongholds—potentially yielding 19–21 if UDF surges, or 13–15 amid LDF resilience and NDA fringe gains. Recent candidate shifts, IUML's push for broader appeal, and communal campaign rows kept dynamics tight; post-polling analyses or leaks could separate outcomes before May 3 results.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala.
If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala.
If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Hacim
$7,735Bitiş Tarihi
9 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 23, 2025, 4:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus reflects a razor-thin UDF-LDF contest following the April 9 Kerala Legislative Assembly election, with 78% voter turnout amplifying uncertainty over IUML's performance across its 27 contested seats. Pre-poll surveys like Matrize-IANS projected UDF at 58–78 seats versus LDF's 53–72, implying IUML's haul hinges on minority consolidation in Malappuram and Kozhikode strongholds—potentially yielding 19–21 if UDF surges, or 13–15 amid LDF resilience and NDA fringe gains. Recent candidate shifts, IUML's push for broader appeal, and communal campaign rows kept dynamics tight; post-polling analyses or leaks could separate outcomes before May 3 results.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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