Trader consensus clusters around 7-9 countries for US military actions in 2026, reflecting six confirmed distinct nations—Iraq, Syria, Yemen, Somalia, Iran, and Venezuela—following early-year operations like the January raid in Caracas and February's US-Israeli airstrikes sparking the ongoing Iran war. Recent developments sustaining this tight race include March precision strikes on Iranian command facilities and ballistic missiles, attacks on Iran-backed militias in Iraq on March 25, and AFRICOM airstrikes targeting ISIS-Somalia in late February through early March, adding intensity without expanding the tally. The contest remains close due to uncertainty over potential escalations, such as proxy retaliations or counterterrorism needs in Africa, with separation possible from new diplomatic breakdowns, major attacks on US assets, or de-escalation signals before year-end.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiABD 2026 'da kaç farklı ülkeye askeri harekat düzenleyecek?
ABD 2026 'da kaç farklı ülkeye askeri harekat düzenleyecek?
7 31.4%
8 23.4%
9 13.6%
6 9.8%
$974,241 Hac.
$974,241 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
6
10%
7
31%
8
23%
9
14%
10
9%
11
7%
12
2%
13
2%
14
1%
15+
1%
7 31.4%
8 23.4%
9 13.6%
6 9.8%
$974,241 Hac.
$974,241 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
6
$423,302 Hac.
10%
7
$6,973 Hac.
31%
8
$105,455 Hac.
23%
9
$11,435 Hac.
14%
10
$12,069 Hac.
9%
11
$17,452 Hac.
7%
12
$28,463 Hac.
2%
13
$47,276 Hac.
2%
14
$42,131 Hac.
1%
15+
$119,843 Hac.
1%
This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus clusters around 7-9 countries for US military actions in 2026, reflecting six confirmed distinct nations—Iraq, Syria, Yemen, Somalia, Iran, and Venezuela—following early-year operations like the January raid in Caracas and February's US-Israeli airstrikes sparking the ongoing Iran war. Recent developments sustaining this tight race include March precision strikes on Iranian command facilities and ballistic missiles, attacks on Iran-backed militias in Iraq on March 25, and AFRICOM airstrikes targeting ISIS-Somalia in late February through early March, adding intensity without expanding the tally. The contest remains close due to uncertainty over potential escalations, such as proxy retaliations or counterterrorism needs in Africa, with separation possible from new diplomatic breakdowns, major attacks on US assets, or de-escalation signals before year-end.
This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Piyasa Açıldı: Nov 13, 2025, 11:15 AM ET
Hacim
$974,241Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 13, 2025, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus clusters around 7-9 countries for US military actions in 2026, reflecting six confirmed distinct nations—Iraq, Syria, Yemen, Somalia, Iran, and Venezuela—following early-year operations like the January raid in Caracas and February's US-Israeli airstrikes sparking the ongoing Iran war. Recent developments sustaining this tight race include March precision strikes on Iranian command facilities and ballistic missiles, attacks on Iran-backed militias in Iraq on March 25, and AFRICOM airstrikes targeting ISIS-Somalia in late February through early March, adding intensity without expanding the tally. The contest remains close due to uncertainty over potential escalations, such as proxy retaliations or counterterrorism needs in Africa, with separation possible from new diplomatic breakdowns, major attacks on US assets, or de-escalation signals before year-end.
This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Hacim
$974,241Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 13, 2025, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus clusters around 7-9 countries for US military actions in 2026, reflecting six confirmed distinct nations—Iraq, Syria, Yemen, Somalia, Iran, and Venezuela—following early-year operations like the January raid in Caracas and February's US-Israeli airstrikes sparking the ongoing Iran war. Recent developments sustaining this tight race include March precision strikes on Iranian command facilities and ballistic missiles, attacks on Iran-backed militias in Iraq on March 25, and AFRICOM airstrikes targeting ISIS-Somalia in late February through early March, adding intensity without expanding the tally. The contest remains close due to uncertainty over potential escalations, such as proxy retaliations or counterterrorism needs in Africa, with separation possible from new diplomatic breakdowns, major attacks on US assets, or de-escalation signals before year-end.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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