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Finans·Federal Rezerv

Fed rate cut by...?

Market icon
Finans·Federal Rezerv

Fed rate cut by...?

$31,547,316 Hac.

31 Oca 2024
Polymarket

$31,547,316 Hac.

Polymarket
Fed rate cut by January 31? icon

January 31

$413,985 Hac.

No

Fed rate cut by March 20? icon

March 20

$1,907,759 Hac.

No

Fed rate cut by May 1? icon

May 1

$1,608,416 Hac.

No

Fed rate cut by June 12? icon

June 12

$1,253,484 Hac.

No

Fed rate cut by July 31? icon

July 31

$1,727,508 Hac.

No

Fed rate cut by September 18? icon

September 18

$20,345,318 Hac.

Yes

Fed rate cut by November 7? icon

November 7

$2,020,983 Hac.

Yes

Fed rate cut by December 18? icon

December 18

$2,269,863 Hac.

Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 21, 2023 ET and January 31, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” This market may not resolve to "No" until January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 17, 2023 ET and March 20, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” This market may not resolve to "No" until March 20, 2024, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 6, 2023 ET and May 1, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” This market may not resolve to "No" until May 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between January 31, 2024 ET and June 12, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” This market may not resolve to "No" until June 12, 2024, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between February 12, 2024 ET and July 31, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” This market may not resolve to "No" until July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between March 6, 2024 ET and September 18, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” This market may not resolve to "No" until September 18, 2024, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between March 6, 2024 ET and November 7, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” This market may not resolve to "No" until November 7, 2024, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between March 6, 2024 ET and December 18, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” This market may not resolve to "No" until December 18, 2024, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 21, 2023 ET and January 31, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market may not resolve to "No" until January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET has passed.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$31,547,316
Bitiş Tarihi
18 Eyl 2024
Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 18, 2023, 12:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 21, 2023 ET and January 31, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” This market may not resolve to "No" until January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sonuç önerildi: No

İtiraz yok

Kesin sonuç: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 21, 2023 ET and January 31, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” This market may not resolve to "No" until January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 17, 2023 ET and March 20, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” This market may not resolve to "No" until March 20, 2024, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 6, 2023 ET and May 1, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” This market may not resolve to "No" until May 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between January 31, 2024 ET and June 12, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” This market may not resolve to "No" until June 12, 2024, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between February 12, 2024 ET and July 31, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” This market may not resolve to "No" until July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between March 6, 2024 ET and September 18, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” This market may not resolve to "No" until September 18, 2024, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between March 6, 2024 ET and November 7, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” This market may not resolve to "No" until November 7, 2024, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between March 6, 2024 ET and December 18, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” This market may not resolve to "No" until December 18, 2024, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 21, 2023 ET and January 31, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market may not resolve to "No" until January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET has passed.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$31,547,316
Bitiş Tarihi
18 Eyl 2024
Piyasa Açıldı
Dec 18, 2023, 12:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 21, 2023 ET and January 31, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” This market may not resolve to "No" until January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sonuç önerildi: No

İtiraz yok

Kesin sonuç: No

Harici bağlantılara dikkat edin.

Sıkça Sorulan Sorular

"Fed rate cut by...?", yatırımcıların ne olacağına inandıklarına göre hisse alıp sattığı 8 olası sonuçlu Polymarket'teki bir tahmin piyasasıdır. Mevcut lider sonuç 100% ile "September 18", ardından 100% ile "November 7" gelmektedir. Fiyatlar gerçek zamanlı kitle kaynaklı olasılıkları yansıtır. Örneğin, 100¢ fiyatlı bir hisse, piyasanın toplu olarak o sonuca 100% olasılık atadığı anlamına gelir. Bu oranlar, yatırımcılar yeni gelişmelere ve bilgilere tepki verdikçe sürekli değişir. Doğru sonuçtaki hisseler piyasa çözümlemesinde her biri 1$ karşılığında tahsil edilebilir.

Bugün itibarıyla "Fed rate cut by...?" toplam $31.5 million işlem hacmi oluşturmuştur piyasa Dec 18, 2023 tarihinde açıldığından beri. Bu düzeyde işlem aktivitesi Polymarket topluluğundan güçlü katılımı yansıtır ve mevcut oranların derin bir piyasa katılımcıları havuzu tarafından bilgilendirilmesini sağlar. Bu sayfada canlı fiyat hareketlerini takip edebilir ve herhangi bir sonuç üzerinde doğrudan işlem yapabilirsiniz.

"Fed rate cut by...?" üzerinde işlem yapmak için bu sayfada listelenen 8 mevcut sonuca göz atın. Her sonuç, piyasanın ima edilen olasılığını temsil eden bir güncel fiyat gösterir. Pozisyon almak için en olası olduğuna inandığınız sonucu seçin, lehine işlem yapmak için "Evet" veya aleyhine işlem yapmak için "Hayır" seçin, miktarınızı girin ve "İşlem Yap"a tıklayın. Piyasa çözümlendiğinde seçtiğiniz sonuç doğruysa, "Evet" hisseleriniz her biri 1$ öder. Yanlışsa 0$ öderler. Ayrıca kâr kilitlemek veya zararı kesmek isterseniz çözümlemeden önce istediğiniz zaman hisselerinizi satabilirsiniz.

"Fed rate cut by...?" için mevcut favori 100% ile "September 18"dir, yani piyasa bu sonuca 100% olasılık atamaktadır. En yakın sonuç 100% ile "November 7"dir. Bu oranlar yatırımcılar hisse alıp sattıkça gerçek zamanlı güncellenir, bu nedenle en olası olanın en son kolektif görüşünü yansıtır. Yeni bilgiler ortaya çıktıkça oranların nasıl değiştiğini takip etmek için sık sık kontrol edin veya bu sayfayı yer imlerine ekleyin.

"Fed rate cut by...?" için çözümleme kuralları, her sonucun kazanan olarak ilan edilmesi için tam olarak ne olması gerektiğini tanımlar — sonucu belirlemek için kullanılan resmi veri kaynakları dahil. Bu sayfadaki yorumların üzerindeki "Kurallar" bölümünde tam çözümleme kriterlerini inceleyebilirsiniz. İşlem yapmadan önce kuralları dikkatli bir şekilde okumanızı öneririz, çünkü bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğini yöneten kesin koşulları, istisnai durumları ve kaynakları belirtir.