Federal prosecutors under the Trump administration charged former CNN anchor Don Lemon with conspiring to deprive civil rights during his livestream coverage of an anti-ICE protest that disrupted a St. Paul, Minnesota, church service on January 18, 2026, invoking statutes protecting religious worship. A magistrate judge initially rejected charges for lack of probable cause, but a grand jury issued an indictment leading to Lemon's January 30 arrest and release without bond; he pleaded not guilty on February 13. With the case now in pretrial proceedings amid First Amendment challenges and no reported dismissal motions, trader consensus at 91.5% "No" reflects DOJ's ongoing pursuit and absence of recent developments signaling charges dropped before the market's May 30 resolution, though pretrial rulings or appeals could still shift outcomes.