Incumbent Democrat Mark Takano's commanding position in California's 39th Congressional District drives trader consensus at 91.5% for a Democratic House winner, reflecting the district's Solid D rating from Cook Political Report and D+7 partisan voting index after voters approved Proposition 50 in November 2025, redrawing lines to bolster Democratic lean in Riverside County's Inland Empire. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, Takano faces no Democratic primary rivals, while Republican challenger Steve Manos, a local mayor, advances to the November general election in this safe seat where Takano has won comfortably since 2012. Scenarios to shift odds include a Takano scandal, health issue, or national Republican midterm wave boosting turnout, though structural advantages and lack of competitive polling make upsets improbable.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiCA -39 Ev Seçimi Kazananı
CA -39 Ev Seçimi Kazananı
$27,288 Hac.
$27,288 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
Demokratik Parti
92%
Cumhuriyetçi Parti
8%
$27,288 Hac.
$27,288 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
Demokratik Parti
$21,171 Hac.
92%
Cumhuriyetçi Parti
$6,116 Hac.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mark Takano's commanding position in California's 39th Congressional District drives trader consensus at 91.5% for a Democratic House winner, reflecting the district's Solid D rating from Cook Political Report and D+7 partisan voting index after voters approved Proposition 50 in November 2025, redrawing lines to bolster Democratic lean in Riverside County's Inland Empire. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, Takano faces no Democratic primary rivals, while Republican challenger Steve Manos, a local mayor, advances to the November general election in this safe seat where Takano has won comfortably since 2012. Scenarios to shift odds include a Takano scandal, health issue, or national Republican midterm wave boosting turnout, though structural advantages and lack of competitive polling make upsets improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Hacim
$27,288Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mark Takano's commanding position in California's 39th Congressional District drives trader consensus at 91.5% for a Democratic House winner, reflecting the district's Solid D rating from Cook Political Report and D+7 partisan voting index after voters approved Proposition 50 in November 2025, redrawing lines to bolster Democratic lean in Riverside County's Inland Empire. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, Takano faces no Democratic primary rivals, while Republican challenger Steve Manos, a local mayor, advances to the November general election in this safe seat where Takano has won comfortably since 2012. Scenarios to shift odds include a Takano scandal, health issue, or national Republican midterm wave boosting turnout, though structural advantages and lack of competitive polling make upsets improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Hacim
$27,288Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Mark Takano's commanding position in California's 39th Congressional District drives trader consensus at 91.5% for a Democratic House winner, reflecting the district's Solid D rating from Cook Political Report and D+7 partisan voting index after voters approved Proposition 50 in November 2025, redrawing lines to bolster Democratic lean in Riverside County's Inland Empire. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, Takano faces no Democratic primary rivals, while Republican challenger Steve Manos, a local mayor, advances to the November general election in this safe seat where Takano has won comfortably since 2012. Scenarios to shift odds include a Takano scandal, health issue, or national Republican midterm wave boosting turnout, though structural advantages and lack of competitive polling make upsets improbable.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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