Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 39% implied probability to Argentina's official USD/ARS exchange rate below 1600 by end-2026, reflecting optimism from President Milei's January 2026 shift to monthly exchange rate bands that enable controlled peso depreciation aligned with disinflation trends. March 2026 consumer prices rose 3.4% monthly—the highest this year—and 32.6% year-on-year, yet well below prior peaks, supporting stabilization from the current ~1,365 rate. The IMF's recent approval of a $1 billion second review under the extended fund facility bolsters net international reserves at $32.7 billion, countering last week's FX rule tweaks amid surging parallel market premia. Higher brackets like 2000+ at 18% price risks from inflation persistence or reserve pressures ahead of further disbursements.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi$15,912 Hac.
$15,912 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
<1600,00
32%
1600,00–1699,99
27%
1700,00–1799,99
18%
1800,00–1899,99
15%
1900,00–1999,99
8%
2000,00+
18%
$15,912 Hac.
$15,912 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
<1600,00
$1,314 Hac.
32%
1600,00–1699,99
$1,005 Hac.
27%
1700,00–1799,99
$929 Hac.
18%
1800,00–1899,99
$713 Hac.
15%
1900,00–1999,99
$10,972 Hac.
8%
2000,00+
$979 Hac.
18%
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 39% implied probability to Argentina's official USD/ARS exchange rate below 1600 by end-2026, reflecting optimism from President Milei's January 2026 shift to monthly exchange rate bands that enable controlled peso depreciation aligned with disinflation trends. March 2026 consumer prices rose 3.4% monthly—the highest this year—and 32.6% year-on-year, yet well below prior peaks, supporting stabilization from the current ~1,365 rate. The IMF's recent approval of a $1 billion second review under the extended fund facility bolsters net international reserves at $32.7 billion, countering last week's FX rule tweaks amid surging parallel market premia. Higher brackets like 2000+ at 18% price risks from inflation persistence or reserve pressures ahead of further disbursements.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Hacim
$15,912Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 39% implied probability to Argentina's official USD/ARS exchange rate below 1600 by end-2026, reflecting optimism from President Milei's January 2026 shift to monthly exchange rate bands that enable controlled peso depreciation aligned with disinflation trends. March 2026 consumer prices rose 3.4% monthly—the highest this year—and 32.6% year-on-year, yet well below prior peaks, supporting stabilization from the current ~1,365 rate. The IMF's recent approval of a $1 billion second review under the extended fund facility bolsters net international reserves at $32.7 billion, countering last week's FX rule tweaks amid surging parallel market premia. Higher brackets like 2000+ at 18% price risks from inflation persistence or reserve pressures ahead of further disbursements.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Hacim
$15,912Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 39% implied probability to Argentina's official USD/ARS exchange rate below 1600 by end-2026, reflecting optimism from President Milei's January 2026 shift to monthly exchange rate bands that enable controlled peso depreciation aligned with disinflation trends. March 2026 consumer prices rose 3.4% monthly—the highest this year—and 32.6% year-on-year, yet well below prior peaks, supporting stabilization from the current ~1,365 rate. The IMF's recent approval of a $1 billion second review under the extended fund facility bolsters net international reserves at $32.7 billion, countering last week's FX rule tweaks amid surging parallel market premia. Higher brackets like 2000+ at 18% price risks from inflation persistence or reserve pressures ahead of further disbursements.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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