Trader consensus heavily favors no Brazil STF justice facing successful impeachment before 2027, reflecting the process's formidable barriers: Senate approval requires 41 votes to open a trial and 54 for conviction, with no historical precedent despite dozens of petitions targeting figures like Alexandre de Moraes (over 40 requests as of early 2026). Recent momentum stalled as the CPI do Crime Organizado rejected its own report four days ago recommending impeachments of three justices and the PGR over Banco Master ties, amid government maneuvers. A December 2025 STF ruling by Gilmar Mendes limited initiations to the PGR only, further insulating ministers, while current Senate dynamics lack the two-thirds supermajority absent major 2026 election shifts.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiEvet
$60,074 Hac.
$60,074 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
Evet
$60,074 Hac.
$60,074 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no Brazil STF justice facing successful impeachment before 2027, reflecting the process's formidable barriers: Senate approval requires 41 votes to open a trial and 54 for conviction, with no historical precedent despite dozens of petitions targeting figures like Alexandre de Moraes (over 40 requests as of early 2026). Recent momentum stalled as the CPI do Crime Organizado rejected its own report four days ago recommending impeachments of three justices and the PGR over Banco Master ties, amid government maneuvers. A December 2025 STF ruling by Gilmar Mendes limited initiations to the PGR only, further insulating ministers, while current Senate dynamics lack the two-thirds supermajority absent major 2026 election shifts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Hacim
$60,074Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no Brazil STF justice facing successful impeachment before 2027, reflecting the process's formidable barriers: Senate approval requires 41 votes to open a trial and 54 for conviction, with no historical precedent despite dozens of petitions targeting figures like Alexandre de Moraes (over 40 requests as of early 2026). Recent momentum stalled as the CPI do Crime Organizado rejected its own report four days ago recommending impeachments of three justices and the PGR over Banco Master ties, amid government maneuvers. A December 2025 STF ruling by Gilmar Mendes limited initiations to the PGR only, further insulating ministers, while current Senate dynamics lack the two-thirds supermajority absent major 2026 election shifts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Hacim
$60,074Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors no Brazil STF justice facing successful impeachment before 2027, reflecting the process's formidable barriers: Senate approval requires 41 votes to open a trial and 54 for conviction, with no historical precedent despite dozens of petitions targeting figures like Alexandre de Moraes (over 40 requests as of early 2026). Recent momentum stalled as the CPI do Crime Organizado rejected its own report four days ago recommending impeachments of three justices and the PGR over Banco Master ties, amid government maneuvers. A December 2025 STF ruling by Gilmar Mendes limited initiations to the PGR only, further insulating ministers, while current Senate dynamics lack the two-thirds supermajority absent major 2026 election shifts.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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