In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race, trader consensus slightly favors Republican Bernadette Wilson at 29.5% implied probability over Democrat Tom Begich at 26%, reflecting her strong early fundraising and perceived momentum among GOP voters despite a March Alaska Survey Research poll showing Begich leading the top-four primary at 19% to Wilson's 14%. The race remains tight due to a fragmented Republican field of over a dozen candidates splitting conservative votes ahead of the August 18 nonpartisan primary, compounded by ranked-choice voting uncertainties and term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy's low approval ratings, as noted in Cook Political Report's April 16 shift from Solid Republican to Likely Republican. Endorsements, new polls, candidate consolidations, or forums could create separation before the June 1 filing deadline.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiAlaska Valisi Seçimlerinin Kazananı
Alaska Valisi Seçimlerinin Kazananı
Bernadette Wilson 30%
Tom Begich 26%
Nancy Dahlstrom 11.6%
Treg Taylor 10.6%
$826,789 Hac.
$826,789 Hac.
Bernadette Wilson
30%
Tom Begich
26%
Nancy Dahlstrom
12%
Treg Taylor
11%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
4%
David Bronson
3%
Click Bishop
2%
Matt Claman
2%
Adam Crum
1%
Lisa Murkowski
<1%
Mary Peltola
<1%
Edna DeVries
<1%
Shelley Hughes
<1%
Hank Kroll
<1%
Matt Heilala
<1%
James Parkin
<1%
Bruce Walden
<1%
Bernadette Wilson 30%
Tom Begich 26%
Nancy Dahlstrom 11.6%
Treg Taylor 10.6%
$826,789 Hac.
$826,789 Hac.
Bernadette Wilson
30%
Tom Begich
26%
Nancy Dahlstrom
12%
Treg Taylor
11%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
4%
David Bronson
3%
Click Bishop
2%
Matt Claman
2%
Adam Crum
1%
Lisa Murkowski
<1%
Mary Peltola
<1%
Edna DeVries
<1%
Shelley Hughes
<1%
Hank Kroll
<1%
Matt Heilala
<1%
James Parkin
<1%
Bruce Walden
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Piyasa Açıldı: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race, trader consensus slightly favors Republican Bernadette Wilson at 29.5% implied probability over Democrat Tom Begich at 26%, reflecting her strong early fundraising and perceived momentum among GOP voters despite a March Alaska Survey Research poll showing Begich leading the top-four primary at 19% to Wilson's 14%. The race remains tight due to a fragmented Republican field of over a dozen candidates splitting conservative votes ahead of the August 18 nonpartisan primary, compounded by ranked-choice voting uncertainties and term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy's low approval ratings, as noted in Cook Political Report's April 16 shift from Solid Republican to Likely Republican. Endorsements, new polls, candidate consolidations, or forums could create separation before the June 1 filing deadline.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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