Ayusin ayon sa

Status ng Event

Ayusin ayon sa

Status ng Event

AI Safety mga prediksiyon at odds

Tech·AI

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

$132K Vol.

$33.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

11%

$132K Vol.

$33.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Tech·AI

SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31?

$4.3K Vol.

$163 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

12%

$4.3K Vol.

$163 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Tech·AI

Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

$57.7K Vol.

$53.4K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

29%

Google

$57.7K Vol.

$53.4K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Politics·Trump

Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?

$1.4K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

14%

December 31

$1.4K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Tech·AI

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

$9.9K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

81%

October 31

$9.9K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Geopolitics·China

US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

$22.2K Vol.

$21.5K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$22.2K Vol.

$21.5K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Tech·AI

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

$3.7K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

23%

October 15

$3.7K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Tech·AI

Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

$7.9K Vol.

$3.1K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

$7.9K Vol.

$3.1K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Tech·AI

US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

$30.8K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

11%

$30.8K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Tech·AI

SSI public model released by…?

$99.6K Vol.

$7.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

19%

October 31

$99.6K Vol.

$7.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Tech·AI

US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

$34.4K Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

13%

$34.4K Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Tech·AI

Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

$10.6K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

$10.6K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Sports·Formula 1

Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?

$3.5K Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

Ends in about 16 hours

<1%

$3.5K Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

Ends in about 16 hours

Tech·AI

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

$8.9K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

27%

OpenAI

$8.9K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Tech·AI

Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?

$1.5K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

14%

OpenAI

$1.5K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Tech·AI

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

$53.2K Vol.

$6.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

16%

$53.2K Vol.

$6.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Tech·AI

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

$42.1K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$42.1K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Tech·AI

Astra removed from public access by...?

$2.0K Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

October 31

$2.0K Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Tech·AI

Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?

$159K Vol.

$22.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$159K Vol.

$22.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Tech·AI

US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

$5.1K Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$5.1K Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Ayusin ayon sa

Status ng Event

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang Polymarket ang pinakamalaking prediction market sa mundo, kung saan maaari kang manatiling informed at kumita mula sa iyong kaalaman sa pamamagitan ng pag-trade sa mga bagay na may kaugnayan sa breaking news, pulitika, sports, eleksyon, crypto, finance, tech, kultura, kasama ang mga paksa tulad ng AI Safety.

Kasalukuyang nag-ho-host ang Polymarket ng 500 aktibong markets para sa AI Safety na nagbibigay-daan sa iyong subaybayan o mag-trade sa mga prediksiyon tulad ng "U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?". Sinusubaybayan mo man ang mga malawakang pinagdedebatehang event o niche outcomes, pinagsasama-sama ng platform ang real-time odds batay sa higit $690K sa trading volume, na nagbibigay ng komprehensibong view ng sentimyento ng mga fan at investor.

Ang bawat polymarket ay isang yes/no na tanong, tulad ng "U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?". Bumibili ka ng shares sa "yes" o "no" na outcomes. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa crowd-sourced odds at probabilities. Halimbawa, kung ang yes ay nasa 30 cents, ibig sabihin 30% ang tsansa. Nire-resolve ang mga market batay sa opisyal na resulta. Para sa multi-outcome events, tulad ng "SSI public model released by…?," mag-trade ka lang sa partikular na outcome na sa tingin mong mananalo.

Sa ngayon, ang pinaka-aktibong market ay "Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?," kung saan ang crowd ay kasalukuyang nagtatakda ng 95% na tsansa sa No. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon at nag-te-trade ang mga user, na nag-aalok ng dynamic na snapshot kung ano ang pinaniniwalaan ng market na mangyayari kumpara sa tradisyonal na bookmaker odds.

Tinatanggal nito ang ingay. Hindi tulad ng mga poll o punditry, pinapakita sa iyo ng Polymarket ang real-time odds sa AI Safety predictions na sinusuportahan ng financial conviction na kadalasang mas mabilis at mas tumpak kaysa sa mga eksperto o survey. Makakakuha ka ng unbiased na view ng kung ano ang iniisip ng libu-libong traders na talagang mangyayari, na kadalasang mas tumpak kaysa sa polls. Dagdag pa, maaari kang mag-trade ng shares at posibleng kumita kung tama ang iyong mga prediksiyon.

Ang Polymarket ay tumpak nang higit 94% ng oras isang buong buwan bago tiyak na malaman ang isang resulta. Pinagsasama-sama ng prediction markets ang karunungan mula sa mga informed na user, na kadalasang mas mahusay kaysa sa mga eksperto. Para sa higit pang konteksto, tingnan ang mga stats sa accuracy ng Polymarket.

Oo. Maaari mong gamitin ang pahinang ito bilang isang live data source at panoorin kung paano nagbabago ang odds para sa AI Safety sa real-time. Isang libreng paraan ito para subaybayan ang market sentiment sa mga pangunahing outcome tulad ng "SSI public model released by…?" nang hindi kailangang mag-trade.

Mag-sign up at i-fund ang iyong account gamit ang crypto, credit/debit card, o bank transfer. I-browse ang AI Safety prediction markets, at kapag handa ka na ay maaari kang bumili ng shares sa iyong mga pinili.

Ang market resolution ay umaasa sa mga pinagkakatiwalaang o opisyal na data sources. Para sa kumpletong kalinawan, maaari mong tingnan ang "Rules" section sa anumang individual market page tulad ng "U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?," para makita ang eksaktong criteria at sources na ginagamit para matukoy ang panalo.

AI Safety Predictions at Real-Time Odds | Polymarket

Mga Madalas na Tanong

AI Safety mga prediksiyon at odds

Tech·AI

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

$132K Vol.

$33.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

11%

$132K Vol.

$33.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Tech·AI

SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31?

$4.3K Vol.

$163 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

12%

$4.3K Vol.

$163 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Tech·AI

Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

$57.7K Vol.

$53.4K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

29%

Google

$57.7K Vol.

$53.4K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Politics·Trump

Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?

$1.4K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

14%

December 31

$1.4K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Tech·AI

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

$9.9K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

81%

October 31

$9.9K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Geopolitics·China

US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

$22.2K Vol.

$21.5K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$22.2K Vol.

$21.5K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Tech·AI

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

$3.7K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

23%

October 15

$3.7K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Tech·AI

Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

$7.9K Vol.

$3.1K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

$7.9K Vol.

$3.1K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Tech·AI

US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

$30.8K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

11%

$30.8K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Tech·AI

SSI public model released by…?

$99.6K Vol.

$7.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

19%

October 31

$99.6K Vol.

$7.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Tech·AI

US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

$34.4K Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

13%

$34.4K Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Tech·AI

Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

$10.6K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

$10.6K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Sports·Formula 1

Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?

$3.5K Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

Ends in about 16 hours

<1%

$3.5K Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

Ends in about 16 hours

Tech·AI

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

$8.9K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

27%

OpenAI

$8.9K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Tech·AI

Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?

$1.5K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

14%

OpenAI

$1.5K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Tech·AI

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

$53.2K Vol.

$6.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

16%

$53.2K Vol.

$6.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Tech·AI

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

$42.1K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$42.1K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Tech·AI

Astra removed from public access by...?

$2.0K Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

October 31

$2.0K Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Tech·AI

Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?

$159K Vol.

$22.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$159K Vol.

$22.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Tech·AI

US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

$5.1K Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$5.1K Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

AI Safety mga prediksiyon at odds

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ano ang Polymarket?

Anong uri ng AI Safety prediction markets ang maaari kong i-trade sa Polymarket?

Paano gumagana ang AI Safety markets sa Polymarket?

Ano ang kasalukuyang nangungunang AI Safety prediction?

Bakit gagamitin ang Polymarket para sa AI Safety predictions?

Gaano katumpak ang AI Safety odds ng Polymarket?

Maaari ba akong mag-track ng AI Safety predictions nang hindi nag-te-trade?

Paano magsisimula sa AI Safety markets sa Polymarket?

Paano nire-resolve ang mga market?

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ano ang Polymarket?

Anong uri ng AI Safety prediction markets ang maaari kong i-trade sa Polymarket?

Paano gumagana ang AI Safety markets sa Polymarket?

Ano ang kasalukuyang nangungunang AI Safety prediction?

Bakit gagamitin ang Polymarket para sa AI Safety predictions?

Gaano katumpak ang AI Safety odds ng Polymarket?

Maaari ba akong mag-track ng AI Safety predictions nang hindi nag-te-trade?

Paano magsisimula sa AI Safety markets sa Polymarket?

Paano nire-resolve ang mga market?

AI Safety mga prediksiyon at odds