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2024 Nominasyon mga prediksiyon at odds

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Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

25%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$3M today

$53M Liq.

717

Ends in over 2 years

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

39%

J.D. Vance

$604M Vol.

$2M today

$25M Liq.

381

Ends in over 2 years

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

33%

$892 Vol.

$12.5K Liq.

2

Ends in over 2 years

Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?

Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?

14%

$1.3K Vol.

$20.1K Liq.

1

Ends in over 2 years

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

16%

Chelsea Clinton

$12.1K Vol.

$1M Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

Republican VP Nominee 2028

Republican VP Nominee 2028

24%

Marco Rubio

$6.3K Vol.

$1M Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

<1%

$223K Vol.

$42.2K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 days

Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

68%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$7M Vol.

$78.9K today

$2M Liq.

100

Ends in 8 months

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

81%

Delcy Rodríguez

$8.5K Vol.

$504K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

9%

$1M Vol.

$108K Liq.

38

Ends in 8 months

Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?

Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?

4%

$52.9K Vol.

$20.2K Liq.

5

Ends in about 2 months

How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?

How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?

49%

7

$73.4K Vol.

$41.2K Liq.

5

Ends in 4 months

How many Democratic House members not running in 2026?

How many Democratic House members not running in 2026?

28%

24–27

$31.6K Vol.

$52.0K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

How many Republican House members not running in 2026?

How many Republican House members not running in 2026?

42%

44+

$55.4K Vol.

$27.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

45%

54

$65.6K Vol.

$6.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

35%

Tulsi Gabbard

$10.5K Vol.

$35.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

57%

Keith Sonderling

$40.4K Vol.

$92.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

32%

2

$2.8K Vol.

$58.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

KY-04 Republican Primary Winner

KY-04 Republican Primary Winner

77%

Thomas Massie

$673K Vol.

$112K today

$114K Liq.

40

Ends in 12 days

OH-09 Republican Primary Winner

OH-09 Republican Primary Winner

Derek Merrin

$46.0K Vol.

2

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang Polymarket ang pinakamalaking prediction market sa mundo, kung saan maaari kang manatiling informed at kumita mula sa iyong kaalaman sa pamamagitan ng pag-trade sa mga bagay na may kaugnayan sa breaking news, pulitika, sports, eleksyon, crypto, finance, tech, kultura, kasama ang mga paksa tulad ng 2024 Nominasyon.

Kasalukuyang nag-ho-host ang Polymarket ng 252 aktibong markets para sa 2024 Nominasyon na nagbibigay-daan sa iyong subaybayan o mag-trade sa mga prediksiyon tulad ng "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028". Sinusubaybayan mo man ang mga malawakang pinagdedebatehang event o niche outcomes, pinagsasama-sama ng platform ang real-time odds batay sa higit $1.7B sa trading volume, na nagbibigay ng komprehensibong view ng sentimyento ng mga fan at investor.

Ang bawat polymarket ay isang yes/no na tanong, tulad ng "Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?". Bumibili ka ng shares sa "yes" o "no" na outcomes. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa crowd-sourced odds at probabilities. Halimbawa, kung ang yes ay nasa 30 cents, ibig sabihin 30% ang tsansa. Nire-resolve ang mga market batay sa opisyal na resulta. Para sa multi-outcome events, tulad ng "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," mag-trade ka lang sa partikular na outcome na sa tingin mong mananalo.

Sa ngayon, ang pinaka-aktibong market ay "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," kung saan ang crowd ay kasalukuyang nagtatakda ng 25% na tsansa sa Gavin Newsom. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon at nag-te-trade ang mga user, na nag-aalok ng dynamic na snapshot kung ano ang pinaniniwalaan ng market na mangyayari kumpara sa tradisyonal na bookmaker odds.

Tinatanggal nito ang ingay. Hindi tulad ng mga poll o punditry, pinapakita sa iyo ng Polymarket ang real-time odds sa 2024 Nominasyon predictions na sinusuportahan ng financial conviction na kadalasang mas mabilis at mas tumpak kaysa sa mga eksperto o survey. Makakakuha ka ng unbiased na view ng kung ano ang iniisip ng libu-libong traders na talagang mangyayari, na kadalasang mas tumpak kaysa sa polls. Dagdag pa, maaari kang mag-trade ng shares at posibleng kumita kung tama ang iyong mga prediksiyon.