Recent polling from Datafolha and Genial/Quaest shows Ciro Gomes opening a double-digit lead over incumbent Elmano de Freitas in first-round voting intentions for the October 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election, with Ciro reaching 41-47 percent support. This positioning stems from Gomes’s prior service as governor and broad name recognition across the state, while de Freitas draws on his current administration record and PT coalition ties. Traders appear to weigh these early survey trends and structural advantages more heavily than potential runoff dynamics, where simulations sometimes narrow or reverse the gap. Lower-probability names such as Camilo Santana and Eduardo Girão reflect limited recent campaign momentum or declared candidacies ahead of the August start of official campaigning.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 73%
Elmano de Freitas 25%
Camilo Santana 4.5%
Capitão Wagner <1%
$56,332 Vol.
$56,332 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
73%
Elmano de Freitas
25%
Camilo Santana
5%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Eduardo Girão
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Ciro Gomes 73%
Elmano de Freitas 25%
Camilo Santana 4.5%
Capitão Wagner <1%
$56,332 Vol.
$56,332 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
$37,021 Vol.
73%
Elmano de Freitas
$6,408 Vol.
25%
Camilo Santana
$3,323 Vol.
5%
Capitão Wagner
$4,372 Vol.
<1%
Eduardo Girão
$3,190 Vol.
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
$2,018 Vol.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Datafolha and Genial/Quaest shows Ciro Gomes opening a double-digit lead over incumbent Elmano de Freitas in first-round voting intentions for the October 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election, with Ciro reaching 41-47 percent support. This positioning stems from Gomes’s prior service as governor and broad name recognition across the state, while de Freitas draws on his current administration record and PT coalition ties. Traders appear to weigh these early survey trends and structural advantages more heavily than potential runoff dynamics, where simulations sometimes narrow or reverse the gap. Lower-probability names such as Camilo Santana and Eduardo Girão reflect limited recent campaign momentum or declared candidacies ahead of the August start of official campaigning.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Volume
$56,332Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Datafolha and Genial/Quaest shows Ciro Gomes opening a double-digit lead over incumbent Elmano de Freitas in first-round voting intentions for the October 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election, with Ciro reaching 41-47 percent support. This positioning stems from Gomes’s prior service as governor and broad name recognition across the state, while de Freitas draws on his current administration record and PT coalition ties. Traders appear to weigh these early survey trends and structural advantages more heavily than potential runoff dynamics, where simulations sometimes narrow or reverse the gap. Lower-probability names such as Camilo Santana and Eduardo Girão reflect limited recent campaign momentum or declared candidacies ahead of the August start of official campaigning.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$56,332Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 4, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Datafolha and Genial/Quaest shows Ciro Gomes opening a double-digit lead over incumbent Elmano de Freitas in first-round voting intentions for the October 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election, with Ciro reaching 41-47 percent support. This positioning stems from Gomes’s prior service as governor and broad name recognition across the state, while de Freitas draws on his current administration record and PT coalition ties. Traders appear to weigh these early survey trends and structural advantages more heavily than potential runoff dynamics, where simulations sometimes narrow or reverse the gap. Lower-probability names such as Camilo Santana and Eduardo Girão reflect limited recent campaign momentum or declared candidacies ahead of the August start of official campaigning.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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