Trader consensus prices Daniel Ennis of the Social Democrats as the clear frontrunner in the Dublin Central by-election because of expected gains through transfers under Ireland’s single transferable vote system. Recent Irish Times and TG4 polling shows Sinn Féin’s Janice Boylan leading first-preference support, yet Ennis is projected to attract second and subsequent preferences from Fine Gael, Green, and Labour voters in a fragmented field. Independent candidate Gerry Hutch has maintained campaign visibility but draws limited broader backing. The contest, scheduled for 22 May to fill the seat vacated by former Fine Gael TD Paschal Donohoe, features a crowded ballot where transfer patterns are expected to prove decisive over initial tallies.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateDaniel Ennis 70%
Janice Boylan 19.7%
Gerry Hutch 5.3%
Ray McAdam 1.4%
$1,142,166 Vol.
$1,142,166 Vol.
Daniel Ennis
70%
Janice Boylan
20%
Gerry Hutch
5%
Ray McAdam
1%
Malachy Steenson
1%
Ian Noel Smyth
<1%
Janet Horner
<1%
Gillian Sherratt
<1%
John Stephens
<1%
Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin
<1%
Séamas McGrattan
<1%
Mary Fitzpatrick
<1%
Daniel Ennis 70%
Janice Boylan 19.7%
Gerry Hutch 5.3%
Ray McAdam 1.4%
$1,142,166 Vol.
$1,142,166 Vol.
Daniel Ennis
70%
Janice Boylan
20%
Gerry Hutch
5%
Ray McAdam
1%
Malachy Steenson
1%
Ian Noel Smyth
<1%
Janet Horner
<1%
Gillian Sherratt
<1%
John Stephens
<1%
Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin
<1%
Séamas McGrattan
<1%
Mary Fitzpatrick
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Binuksan ang Market: Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices Daniel Ennis of the Social Democrats as the clear frontrunner in the Dublin Central by-election because of expected gains through transfers under Ireland’s single transferable vote system. Recent Irish Times and TG4 polling shows Sinn Féin’s Janice Boylan leading first-preference support, yet Ennis is projected to attract second and subsequent preferences from Fine Gael, Green, and Labour voters in a fragmented field. Independent candidate Gerry Hutch has maintained campaign visibility but draws limited broader backing. The contest, scheduled for 22 May to fill the seat vacated by former Fine Gael TD Paschal Donohoe, features a crowded ballot where transfer patterns are expected to prove decisive over initial tallies.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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