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icon for Aling mga bansa ang makikilala ang Palestine bago ang 2027?
Politika·Israel

Aling mga bansa ang makikilala ang Palestine bago ang 2027?

icon for Aling mga bansa ang makikilala ang Palestine bago ang 2027?
Politika·Israel

Aling mga bansa ang makikilala ang Palestine bago ang 2027?

Dec 31

Dec 31

$714,967 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$714,967 Vol.

Polymarket
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This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic momentum for Palestinian state recognition accelerated sharply in September 2025 during the UN General Assembly, when the United Kingdom, Canada, France, Australia, Portugal, and several other European states extended formal recognition, raising the total to 157 of 193 UN members. These moves, coordinated amid the ongoing Gaza conflict and humanitarian pressures, reflected efforts to advance a two-state solution and strengthen the Palestinian Authority while sidelining Hamas. Remaining holdouts, including the United States and several other G7 and NATO partners, continue to condition any shift on security guarantees, hostage releases, and Palestinian governance reforms. Scheduled UN sessions, bilateral talks, and potential ceasefire developments through 2026 could influence additional recognitions before the 2027 cutoff, though structural barriers for key non-recognizers persist.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$714,967
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 11:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic momentum for Palestinian state recognition accelerated sharply in September 2025 during the UN General Assembly, when the United Kingdom, Canada, France, Australia, Portugal, and several other European states extended formal recognition, raising the total to 157 of 193 UN members. These moves, coordinated amid the ongoing Gaza conflict and humanitarian pressures, reflected efforts to advance a two-state solution and strengthen the Palestinian Authority while sidelining Hamas. Remaining holdouts, including the United States and several other G7 and NATO partners, continue to condition any shift on security guarantees, hostage releases, and Palestinian governance reforms. Scheduled UN sessions, bilateral talks, and potential ceasefire developments through 2026 could influence additional recognitions before the 2027 cutoff, though structural barriers for key non-recognizers persist.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$714,967
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 11:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Aling mga bansa ang makikilala ang Palestine bago ang 2027?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 10 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Belgium" sa 26%, sinusundan ng "New Zealand" sa 23%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 26¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 26% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Aling mga bansa ang makikilala ang Palestine bago ang 2027?" ay naka-generate ng $715K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 5, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Aling mga bansa ang makikilala ang Palestine bago ang 2027?," i-browse ang 10 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Aling mga bansa ang makikilala ang Palestine bago ang 2027?" ay "Belgium" sa 26%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 26% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "New Zealand" sa 23%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Aling mga bansa ang makikilala ang Palestine bago ang 2027?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.