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Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Ben McAdams 76%

Nate Blouin 22%

Brian King <1%

Luz Escamilla <1%

Polymarket

$25,138 Vol.

Ben McAdams 76%

Nate Blouin 22%

Brian King <1%

Luz Escamilla <1%

Polymarket

$25,138 Vol.

Ben McAdams

$6,992 Vol.

76%

Nate Blouin

$3,721 Vol.

22%

Brian King

$906 Vol.

1%

Luz Escamilla

$5,537 Vol.

1%

Kathleen Riebe

$1,306 Vol.

1%

Erin Mendenhall

$4,198 Vol.

<1%

Jenny Wilson

$1,130 Vol.

<1%

Caroline Gleich

$669 Vol.

<1%

Kael Weston

$678 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former U.S. Representative Ben McAdams leads trader consensus at 76% implied probability to win Utah's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, driven by his name recognition from the 2018-2020 term, dominant fundraising with over $1.5 million raised through April 21 versus Nate Blouin's $526,000, and a March Data for Progress poll showing him ahead 36%-23% among likely primary voters. Blouin's 22% reflects his progressive appeal and near-tie in the poll's informed ballot test (39%-40%), but recent resurfacing of his decade-old offensive social media posts has sparked Democratic calls for him to exit and prompted a $611,000 conservative super PAC ad buy boosting McAdams. The April 25 state Democratic convention and ongoing signature gathering could shift dynamics in this crowded field for the blue-leaning district, though others trail far behind amid limited resources and visibility.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$25,138
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 23, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former U.S. Representative Ben McAdams leads trader consensus at 76% implied probability to win Utah's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, driven by his name recognition from the 2018-2020 term, dominant fundraising with over $1.5 million raised through April 21 versus Nate Blouin's $526,000, and a March Data for Progress poll showing him ahead 36%-23% among likely primary voters. Blouin's 22% reflects his progressive appeal and near-tie in the poll's informed ballot test (39%-40%), but recent resurfacing of his decade-old offensive social media posts has sparked Democratic calls for him to exit and prompted a $611,000 conservative super PAC ad buy boosting McAdams. The April 25 state Democratic convention and ongoing signature gathering could shift dynamics in this crowded field for the blue-leaning district, though others trail far behind amid limited resources and visibility.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$25,138
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 23, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 9 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Ben McAdams" sa 76%, sinusundan ng "Nate Blouin" sa 22%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 76¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 76% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $25.1K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 25, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 9 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" ay "Ben McAdams" sa 76%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 76% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Nate Blouin" sa 22%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.