Skip to main content
icon for UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Ben McAdams 77%

Nate Blouin 15%

Liban Mohamed 14.8%

Erin Mendenhall <1%

Polymarket

$29,880 Vol.

Ben McAdams 77%

Nate Blouin 15%

Liban Mohamed 14.8%

Erin Mendenhall <1%

Polymarket

$29,880 Vol.

Ben McAdams

$7,943 Vol.

77%

Nate Blouin

$4,106 Vol.

15%

Liban Mohamed

$744 Vol.

15%

Erin Mendenhall

$4,508 Vol.

<1%

Luz Escamilla

$5,829 Vol.

<1%

Caroline Gleich

$1,228 Vol.

<1%

Brian King

$1,190 Vol.

<1%

Kathleen Riebe

$1,615 Vol.

<1%

Michael Farrell

$282 Vol.

<1%

Kael Weston

$1,101 Vol.

<1%

Jenny Wilson

$1,333 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams leads trader consensus at 77% implied probability for the Utah 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, driven by his early polling edge—36% in a late March survey—and dominant fundraising exceeding $1.5 million, bolstering his moderate appeal and name recognition in the newly drawn blue-leaning district. Liban Mohamed's 19% reflects momentum from his April 25 upset win at the Utah Democratic Party state convention via ranked-choice voting, energizing progressive delegates despite limited resources. Nate Blouin's 15% has softened amid backlash from mid-April revelations of decade-old social media posts mocking Mormons and containing offensive jokes, eroding his progressive challenger positioning among voters. Recent media coverage highlights the crowded field's dynamics, with undecideds above 25% signaling volatility ahead of mail ballots.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$29,880
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 23, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former U.S. Rep. Ben McAdams leads trader consensus at 77% implied probability for the Utah 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, driven by his early polling edge—36% in a late March survey—and dominant fundraising exceeding $1.5 million, bolstering his moderate appeal and name recognition in the newly drawn blue-leaning district. Liban Mohamed's 19% reflects momentum from his April 25 upset win at the Utah Democratic Party state convention via ranked-choice voting, energizing progressive delegates despite limited resources. Nate Blouin's 15% has softened amid backlash from mid-April revelations of decade-old social media posts mocking Mormons and containing offensive jokes, eroding his progressive challenger positioning among voters. Recent media coverage highlights the crowded field's dynamics, with undecideds above 25% signaling volatility ahead of mail ballots.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$29,880
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 23, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 11 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Ben McAdams" sa 77%, sinusundan ng "Nate Blouin" sa 15%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 77¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 77% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $29.9K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 25, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 11 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" ay "Ben McAdams" sa 77%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 77% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Nate Blouin" sa 15%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "UT-01 Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.