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icon for Trump Today: April 25

Trump Today: April 25

icon for Trump Today: April 25

Trump Today: April 25

$7,557,774 Vol.

Apr 25, 2026
Polymarket

$7,557,774 Vol.

Polymarket

Trump dances

$7,532,933 Vol.

Yes

Trump signs an executive order

$5,843 Vol.

No

Trump wears a red tie

$5,138 Vol.

No

Trump says "Sleepy Joe"

$6,011 Vol.

No

Trump talks to Xi Jinping

$7,849 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve based on video.This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution. This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify. If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”. In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump wears a red tie at any point on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The color will be determined by the most visually dominant color visible in publicly available photos or videos. For example, for the tie to be considered predominantly blue, its primary color must be a shade of blue, though it may feature other colors as part of a pattern. This tie would count as "Blue": https://i.ytimg.com/vi/20w7J2JAmqw/maxresdefault.jpg The following tie has no distinguishable predominant color, and thus would resolve to "No". https://www.usatoday.com/gcdn/authoring/authoring-images/2025/01/20/USAT/77837111007-xxx-dcmg-105-5190802.jpg If Donald Trump does not wear a tie or if no photos or video are released from the listed date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.A shooting incident at the White House Correspondents' Association Dinner on April 25 disrupted President Trump's public schedule, dominating trader focus for the "Trump Today: April 25" market tracking his potential dance, executive order signature, red tie attire, verbal mentions of specific terms, and meetings with listed individuals. The assailant, Cole Tomas Allen from California, fired shots before Secret Service subdued him, evacuating Trump, First Lady Melania, and Vice President JD Vance unharmed—one agent suffered minor injury. Trump delivered earlier remarks and gaggled with press from Palm Beach. Markets remain in review pending consensus of credible reporting; suspect arraignment and White House security protocol meetings this week loom as key follow-ups.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

This market will resolve based on video.
Volume
$7,557,774
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Apr 25, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 24, 2026, 6:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve based on video.

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Nai-dispute

Na-propose ang outcome: Yes

Nai-dispute

Pinal na outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve based on video.This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution. This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify. If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”. In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump wears a red tie at any point on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The color will be determined by the most visually dominant color visible in publicly available photos or videos. For example, for the tie to be considered predominantly blue, its primary color must be a shade of blue, though it may feature other colors as part of a pattern. This tie would count as "Blue": https://i.ytimg.com/vi/20w7J2JAmqw/maxresdefault.jpg The following tie has no distinguishable predominant color, and thus would resolve to "No". https://www.usatoday.com/gcdn/authoring/authoring-images/2025/01/20/USAT/77837111007-xxx-dcmg-105-5190802.jpg If Donald Trump does not wear a tie or if no photos or video are released from the listed date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.A shooting incident at the White House Correspondents' Association Dinner on April 25 disrupted President Trump's public schedule, dominating trader focus for the "Trump Today: April 25" market tracking his potential dance, executive order signature, red tie attire, verbal mentions of specific terms, and meetings with listed individuals. The assailant, Cole Tomas Allen from California, fired shots before Secret Service subdued him, evacuating Trump, First Lady Melania, and Vice President JD Vance unharmed—one agent suffered minor injury. Trump delivered earlier remarks and gaggled with press from Palm Beach. Markets remain in review pending consensus of credible reporting; suspect arraignment and White House security protocol meetings this week loom as key follow-ups.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify.

AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

This market will resolve based on video.
Volume
$7,557,774
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Apr 25, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 24, 2026, 6:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on April 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve based on video.

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Nai-dispute

Na-propose ang outcome: Yes

Nai-dispute

Pinal na outcome: Yes

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Trump Today: April 25" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 5 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Trump dances" sa 100%, sinusundan ng "Trump signs an executive order" sa 0%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Trump Today: April 25" ay naka-generate ng $7.6 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Apr 24, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Trump Today: April 25," i-browse ang 5 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Trump Today: April 25" ay "Trump dances" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Trump signs an executive order" sa 0%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Trump Today: April 25" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.