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icon for Trump negative approval before May?

Trump negative approval before May?

icon for Trump negative approval before May?

Trump negative approval before May?

>99% tsansa
Polymarket

$84,278 Vol.

>99% tsansa
Polymarket

$84,278 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Donald Trump’s disapproval rating on FiveThirtyEight is higher than his approval rating for any date between February 9 and April 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Trump’s disapproval rating must be higher than his approval rating, ties will not qualify. The approval/disapproval ratings for each date will be considered finalized once the next data point is available. If data for any date remains unavailable, the nearest previous approval/disapproval figures will be used. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/, specifically the disapproval rating indicated by the purple "disapprove", and the green “approve” trend line for the resolution date. The box that 538 uses to calculate the difference using different precision is not relevant for this market - only the difference between approval and disapproval ratings that they report up to one decimal point is considered. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the disapproval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market may only resolve to "No" once the first data point after April 30, 2025 is published. If the first data point after April 30, 2025 is published, and there is still no data point for April 30, this market will resolve according to all prior data points. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Donald Trump’s disapproval rating on FiveThirtyEight is higher than his approval rating for any date between February 9 and April 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Trump’s disapproval rating must be higher than his approval rating, ties will not qualify.

The approval/disapproval ratings for each date will be considered finalized once the next data point is available. If data for any date remains unavailable, the nearest previous approval/disapproval figures will be used.

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/, specifically the disapproval rating indicated by the purple "disapprove", and the green “approve” trend line for the resolution date. The box that 538 uses to calculate the difference using different precision is not relevant for this market - only the difference between approval and disapproval ratings that they report up to one decimal point is considered.

Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the disapproval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

This market may only resolve to "No" once the first data point after April 30, 2025 is published. If the first data point after April 30, 2025 is published, and there is still no data point for April 30, this market will resolve according to all prior data points.

Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$84,278
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Apr 30, 2025
Binuksan ang Market
Feb 10, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Donald Trump’s disapproval rating on FiveThirtyEight is higher than his approval rating for any date between February 9 and April 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Trump’s disapproval rating must be higher than his approval rating, ties will not qualify. The approval/disapproval ratings for each date will be considered finalized once the next data point is available. If data for any date remains unavailable, the nearest previous approval/disapproval figures will be used. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/, specifically the disapproval rating indicated by the purple "disapprove", and the green “approve” trend line for the resolution date. The box that 538 uses to calculate the difference using different precision is not relevant for this market - only the difference between approval and disapproval ratings that they report up to one decimal point is considered. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the disapproval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market may only resolve to "No" once the first data point after April 30, 2025 is published. If the first data point after April 30, 2025 is published, and there is still no data point for April 30, this market will resolve according to all prior data points. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Na-propose ang outcome: Yes

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Donald Trump’s disapproval rating on FiveThirtyEight is higher than his approval rating for any date between February 9 and April 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Trump’s disapproval rating must be higher than his approval rating, ties will not qualify. The approval/disapproval ratings for each date will be considered finalized once the next data point is available. If data for any date remains unavailable, the nearest previous approval/disapproval figures will be used. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/, specifically the disapproval rating indicated by the purple "disapprove", and the green “approve” trend line for the resolution date. The box that 538 uses to calculate the difference using different precision is not relevant for this market - only the difference between approval and disapproval ratings that they report up to one decimal point is considered. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the disapproval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market may only resolve to "No" once the first data point after April 30, 2025 is published. If the first data point after April 30, 2025 is published, and there is still no data point for April 30, this market will resolve according to all prior data points. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Donald Trump’s disapproval rating on FiveThirtyEight is higher than his approval rating for any date between February 9 and April 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Trump’s disapproval rating must be higher than his approval rating, ties will not qualify.

The approval/disapproval ratings for each date will be considered finalized once the next data point is available. If data for any date remains unavailable, the nearest previous approval/disapproval figures will be used.

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/, specifically the disapproval rating indicated by the purple "disapprove", and the green “approve” trend line for the resolution date. The box that 538 uses to calculate the difference using different precision is not relevant for this market - only the difference between approval and disapproval ratings that they report up to one decimal point is considered.

Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the disapproval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

This market may only resolve to "No" once the first data point after April 30, 2025 is published. If the first data point after April 30, 2025 is published, and there is still no data point for April 30, this market will resolve according to all prior data points.

Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$84,278
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Apr 30, 2025
Binuksan ang Market
Feb 10, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Donald Trump’s disapproval rating on FiveThirtyEight is higher than his approval rating for any date between February 9 and April 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Trump’s disapproval rating must be higher than his approval rating, ties will not qualify. The approval/disapproval ratings for each date will be considered finalized once the next data point is available. If data for any date remains unavailable, the nearest previous approval/disapproval figures will be used. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/, specifically the disapproval rating indicated by the purple "disapprove", and the green “approve” trend line for the resolution date. The box that 538 uses to calculate the difference using different precision is not relevant for this market - only the difference between approval and disapproval ratings that they report up to one decimal point is considered. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the disapproval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. This market may only resolve to "No" once the first data point after April 30, 2025 is published. If the first data point after April 30, 2025 is published, and there is still no data point for April 30, this market will resolve according to all prior data points. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Na-propose ang outcome: Yes

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: Yes

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Trump negative approval before May?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng "Yes" o "No" shares batay sa kung naniniwala silang mangyayari ang event na ito. Ang kasalukuyang crowd-sourced probability ay 100% para sa "Yes." Halimbawa, kung ang "Yes" ay naka-presyo sa 100¢, ang market ay kolektibong nagtatakda ng 100% na tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Trump negative approval before May?" ay naka-generate ng $84.3K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Feb 10, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Trump negative approval before May?," piliin lang kung naniniwala ka na ang sagot ay "Yes" o "No." Ang bawat panig ay may kasalukuyang presyo na sumasalamin sa implied probability ng market. Ilagay ang iyong halaga at i-click ang "Trade." Kung bibili ka ng "Yes" shares at na-resolve ang outcome bilang "Yes," nagbabayad ang bawat share ng $1. Kung na-resolve bilang "No," ang iyong "Yes" shares ay nagkakahalaga ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang probability para sa "Trump negative approval before May?" ay 100% para sa "Yes." Ibig sabihin nito na kasalukuyang naniniwala ang Polymarket crowd na may 100% tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time batay sa actual trades, na nagbibigay ng patuloy na ina-update na signal kung ano ang inaasahan ng market na mangyayari.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Trump negative approval before May?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.