SpaceX (SPCX) shares, which closed near $108 on July 31 after falling from a post-June IPO peak above $225, face immediate pressure from the company's first post-IPO earnings release on August 4 and the start of a major lock-up expiration releasing up to $116 billion in shares on August 6. Current trading levels near 1.4-1.5 trillion market cap reflect compressed multiples on 2025-2026 revenue estimates of roughly $19-39 billion, with traders weighing Starlink growth, Starship progress, and AI-related initiatives against dilution risks and elevated valuation relative to peers. The closely bunched Polymarket probabilities across sub-$85 to above-$130 buckets underscore uncertainty around how earnings results and potential additional unlock tranches—tied to price thresholds near $175—could shift sentiment in the final days of the week.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateSpaceX (SPCX) closes week of Aug 3 at ___?
SpaceX (SPCX) closes week of Aug 3 at ___?
>$130 21%
<$85 18%
$105-$110 14%
$115-$120 12%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 7, 2026
<$85
18%
$85-$90
12%
$90-$95
12%
$95-$100
12%
$100-$105
12%
$105-$110
14%
$110-$115
10%
$115-$120
12%
$120-$125
11%
$125-$130
11%
>$130
21%
>$130 21%
<$85 18%
$105-$110 14%
$115-$120 12%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 7, 2026
<$85
$0 Vol.
18%
$85-$90
$0 Vol.
12%
$90-$95
$0 Vol.
12%
$95-$100
$0 Vol.
12%
$100-$105
$0 Vol.
12%
$105-$110
$0 Vol.
14%
$110-$115
$0 Vol.
10%
$115-$120
$0 Vol.
12%
$120-$125
$0 Vol.
11%
$125-$130
$0 Vol.
11%
>$130
$0 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.SpaceX (SPCX) shares, which closed near $108 on July 31 after falling from a post-June IPO peak above $225, face immediate pressure from the company's first post-IPO earnings release on August 4 and the start of a major lock-up expiration releasing up to $116 billion in shares on August 6. Current trading levels near 1.4-1.5 trillion market cap reflect compressed multiples on 2025-2026 revenue estimates of roughly $19-39 billion, with traders weighing Starlink growth, Starship progress, and AI-related initiatives against dilution risks and elevated valuation relative to peers. The closely bunched Polymarket probabilities across sub-$85 to above-$130 buckets underscore uncertainty around how earnings results and potential additional unlock tranches—tied to price thresholds near $175—could shift sentiment in the final days of the week.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 31, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Volume
$0Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 7, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 31, 2026, 6:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.SpaceX (SPCX) shares, which closed near $108 on July 31 after falling from a post-June IPO peak above $225, face immediate pressure from the company's first post-IPO earnings release on August 4 and the start of a major lock-up expiration releasing up to $116 billion in shares on August 6. Current trading levels near 1.4-1.5 trillion market cap reflect compressed multiples on 2025-2026 revenue estimates of roughly $19-39 billion, with traders weighing Starlink growth, Starship progress, and AI-related initiatives against dilution risks and elevated valuation relative to peers. The closely bunched Polymarket probabilities across sub-$85 to above-$130 buckets underscore uncertainty around how earnings results and potential additional unlock tranches—tied to price thresholds near $175—could shift sentiment in the final days of the week.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for SpaceX (SPCX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Volume
$0Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 7, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 31, 2026, 6:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX (SPCX) shares, which closed near $108 on July 31 after falling from a post-June IPO peak above $225, face immediate pressure from the company's first post-IPO earnings release on August 4 and the start of a major lock-up expiration releasing up to $116 billion in shares on August 6. Current trading levels near 1.4-1.5 trillion market cap reflect compressed multiples on 2025-2026 revenue estimates of roughly $19-39 billion, with traders weighing Starlink growth, Starship progress, and AI-related initiatives against dilution risks and elevated valuation relative to peers. The closely bunched Polymarket probabilities across sub-$85 to above-$130 buckets underscore uncertainty around how earnings results and potential additional unlock tranches—tied to price thresholds near $175—could shift sentiment in the final days of the week.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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