Skip to main content
icon for Spain snap election called by...?
Mundo·Mga Gawaing Pandaigdig

Spain snap election called by...?

icon for Spain snap election called by...?
Mundo·Mga Gawaing Pandaigdig

Spain snap election called by...?

Sep 1

Dec 31

Sep 1

Dec 31

$191,061 Vol.

Aug 31, 2026
Polymarket

$191,061 Vol.

Polymarket

August 31, 2026

$11,855 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pedro Sánchez’s minority PSOE-led coalition has faced ongoing strains from reliance on regional partners such as Junts and the PNV, repeated budget rollovers, and opposition gains in 2025–2026 regional contests including Andalusia. Sánchez has consistently ruled out an early dissolution, citing the constitutional deadline of August 2027 and the absence of a parliamentary breakdown sufficient to trigger new elections. Corruption probes and migration pressures have intensified calls from the PP and Vox for a snap vote, yet these have not produced partner withdrawals or a failed confidence motion. With no scheduled dissolution before year-end and the prime minister reaffirming commitment to the full term, trader consensus reflects limited near-term probability of a 2026 call.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$191,061
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 1, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 24, 2026, 7:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pedro Sánchez’s minority PSOE-led coalition has faced ongoing strains from reliance on regional partners such as Junts and the PNV, repeated budget rollovers, and opposition gains in 2025–2026 regional contests including Andalusia. Sánchez has consistently ruled out an early dissolution, citing the constitutional deadline of August 2027 and the absence of a parliamentary breakdown sufficient to trigger new elections. Corruption probes and migration pressures have intensified calls from the PP and Vox for a snap vote, yet these have not produced partner withdrawals or a failed confidence motion. With no scheduled dissolution before year-end and the prime minister reaffirming commitment to the full term, trader consensus reflects limited near-term probability of a 2026 call.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$191,061
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 1, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 24, 2026, 7:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kaugnay

icon for Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky be less than 1,200,000?

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kentucky be less than 1,200,000?

43%
icon for Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by August 31?

Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by August 31?

<1%
icon for Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

8%

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Spain snap election called by...?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 3 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "August 31, 2026" sa 2%, sinusundan ng "December 31, 2025" sa 0%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 2¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 2% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Spain snap election called by...?" ay naka-generate ng $191.1K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong May 28, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Spain snap election called by...?," i-browse ang 3 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Isa itong wide-open market. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna para sa "Spain snap election called by...?" ay "August 31, 2026" sa 2% lang, na may "December 31, 2025" na malapit sa likod sa 0%. Walang outcome na may malakas na mayorya, kaya nakikita ito ng mga trader bilang highly uncertain, na maaaring magbigay ng mga kakaibang trading opportunity. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time, kaya i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para panoorin kung paano nag-e-evolve ang probabilities.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Spain snap election called by...?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.