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icon for Next Senate Majority Leader?
Politika·Halalan Sa US

Next Senate Majority Leader?

icon for Next Senate Majority Leader?
Politika·Halalan Sa US

Next Senate Majority Leader?

John Thune 100.0%

JD Vance <1%

Steve Daines <1%

Rick Scott <1%

Polymarket

$13,423,238 Vol.

John Thune 100.0%

JD Vance <1%

Steve Daines <1%

Rick Scott <1%

Polymarket

$13,423,238 Vol.

icon for JD Vance

JD Vance

$2,167,157 Vol.

No

icon for John Thune

John Thune

$829,319 Vol.

Yes

icon for Rick Scott

Rick Scott

$2,035,489 Vol.

No

icon for John Cornyn

John Cornyn

$651,008 Vol.

No

icon for Joni Ernst

Joni Ernst

$1,517,584 Vol.

No

icon for John Barrasso

John Barrasso

$3,216,833 Vol.

No

icon for Steve Daines

Steve Daines

$3,005,847 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Thune is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rick Scott is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Cornyn is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joni Ernst is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Barrasso is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Steve Daines is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Thune is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.

Volume
$13,423,238
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 6, 2024, 4:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Thune is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.

Na-propose ang outcome: Yes

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Thune is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rick Scott is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Cornyn is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joni Ernst is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Barrasso is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Steve Daines is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Thune is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.

Volume
$13,423,238
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 6, 2024, 4:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Thune is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open until January 3, 2025, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader announced by June, 30, 2025, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.

Na-propose ang outcome: Yes

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: Yes

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Next Senate Majority Leader?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 7 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "John Thune" sa 100%, sinusundan ng "JD Vance" sa 0%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Next Senate Majority Leader?" ay naka-generate ng $13.4 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 6, 2024. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Next Senate Majority Leader?," i-browse ang 7 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Next Senate Majority Leader?" ay "John Thune" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "JD Vance" sa 0%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Next Senate Majority Leader?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.