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Next James Bond actor?

icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

Callum Turner 34%

Jacob Elordi 9%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 7.1%

Tom Holland 6.8%

Polymarket
BAGO

Callum Turner 34%

Jacob Elordi 9%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson 7.1%

Tom Holland 6.8%

Polymarket
BAGO

Callum Turner

$140 Vol.

35%

Jacob Elordi

$96 Vol.

9%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$304 Vol.

7%

Tom Holland

$87 Vol.

7%

Josh O'Connor

$96 Vol.

7%

No Bond chosen

$96 Vol.

6%

James Norton

$90 Vol.

5%

Henry Cavill

$89 Vol.

5%

Robert James-Collier

$85 Vol.

4%

Jack Lowdon

$85 Vol.

4%

Harris Dickinson

$101 Vol.

4%

Tom Hardy

$85 Vol.

3%

Michael B Jordan

$101 Vol.

3%

Timothee Chalamet

$116 Vol.

3%

Paul Mescal

$128 Vol.

3%

Theo James

$171 Vol.

3%

Pierce Brosnan

$104 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The official launch of the next James Bond casting process in May 2026, with Amazon MGM Studios enlisting Nina Gold to audition candidates for a "fresh face" British actor, has kept the market wide open while sharpening focus on contenders who match the described profile. Callum Turner leads with the strongest implied probability, buoyed by consistent betting-market momentum and his recent prestige work that aligns with franchise needs for suaveness and gravitas. Jacob Elordi and James Norton sit tied for second amid speculation about their screen presence and meetings, while Aaron Taylor-Johnson and Josh O'Connor trail as longer shots in a field emphasizing unknowns over established stars. No actor has been confirmed, leaving room for late shifts before any announcement expected later in 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,973
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The official launch of the next James Bond casting process in May 2026, with Amazon MGM Studios enlisting Nina Gold to audition candidates for a "fresh face" British actor, has kept the market wide open while sharpening focus on contenders who match the described profile. Callum Turner leads with the strongest implied probability, buoyed by consistent betting-market momentum and his recent prestige work that aligns with franchise needs for suaveness and gravitas. Jacob Elordi and James Norton sit tied for second amid speculation about their screen presence and meetings, while Aaron Taylor-Johnson and Josh O'Connor trail as longer shots in a field emphasizing unknowns over established stars. No actor has been confirmed, leaving room for late shifts before any announcement expected later in 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,973
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Next James Bond actor?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 17 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Callum Turner" sa 35%, sinusundan ng "James Norton" sa 10%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 35¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 35% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Next James Bond actor?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong May 18, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Next James Bond actor?," i-browse ang 17 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Next James Bond actor?" ay "Callum Turner" sa 35%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 35% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "James Norton" sa 10%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Next James Bond actor?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.