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Newark Mayoral Election

icon for Newark Mayoral Election

Newark Mayoral Election

Ras Baraka 96%

Douglas Davis 1.4%

Asha Coates-Hamlet 1.3%

Noble Milton <1%

Polymarket

$18,636 Vol.

Ras Baraka 96%

Douglas Davis 1.4%

Asha Coates-Hamlet 1.3%

Noble Milton <1%

Polymarket

$18,636 Vol.

Ras Baraka

$3,580 Vol.

96%

Douglas Davis

$941 Vol.

1%

Asha Coates-Hamlet

$4,157 Vol.

1%

Noble Milton

$3,035 Vol.

<1%

Nasheedah Singleton

$1,004 Vol.

<1%

Sheila Montague

$1,383 Vol.

<1%

Jhamar Youngblood

$1,024 Vol.

<1%

Tanisha Garner

$1,065 Vol.

<1%

Debra Salters

$1,015 Vol.

<1%

Louis Shockley

$1,434 Vol.

<1%

The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka's commanding 96% implied probability in the Polymarket reflects his strong incumbency advantage in Newark's low-turnout, non-partisan municipal election on May 12, bolstered by a weak field of minor challengers like Asha Coates-Hamlet and Douglas Davis. Recent developments, including the New Jersey Working Families Party endorsement on April 21 citing record-low crime, 23,000 lead service lines replaced, and 57% homelessness reduction, alongside his allies' school board sweep last week, have solidified trader consensus on his path to a fourth term. While corruption allegations from a former housing commissioner persist, they have failed to erode support. Scenarios like a late-breaking scandal, surged opposition turnout, or disputed vote counts could still challenge the outcome.

The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Volume
$18,636
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 12, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka's commanding 96% implied probability in the Polymarket reflects his strong incumbency advantage in Newark's low-turnout, non-partisan municipal election on May 12, bolstered by a weak field of minor challengers like Asha Coates-Hamlet and Douglas Davis. Recent developments, including the New Jersey Working Families Party endorsement on April 21 citing record-low crime, 23,000 lead service lines replaced, and 57% homelessness reduction, alongside his allies' school board sweep last week, have solidified trader consensus on his path to a fourth term. While corruption allegations from a former housing commissioner persist, they have failed to erode support. Scenarios like a late-breaking scandal, surged opposition turnout, or disputed vote counts could still challenge the outcome.

The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Volume
$18,636
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 12, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Newark Mayoral Election" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 10 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Ras Baraka" sa 96%, sinusundan ng "Douglas Davis" sa 1%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 96¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 96% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Newark Mayoral Election" ay naka-generate ng $18.6K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Mar 10, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Newark Mayoral Election," i-browse ang 10 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Newark Mayoral Election" ay "Ras Baraka" sa 96%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 96% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Douglas Davis" sa 1%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Newark Mayoral Election" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.