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MD-05 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MD-05 Democratic Primary Winner
Halalan·Pangunahing Halalan

MD-05 Democratic Primary Winner

Adrian Boafo 100.0%

Quincy Bareebe 9.7%

Rushern Baker III <1%

Alexis Solis <1%

Polymarket

$134,074 Vol.

Adrian Boafo 100.0%

Quincy Bareebe 9.7%

Rushern Baker III <1%

Alexis Solis <1%

Polymarket

$134,074 Vol.

Alexis Solis

$1,014 Vol.

No

Dave Sundberg

$1,382 Vol.

No

Ellis Colvin

$846 Vol.

No

Harry Jarin

$2,221 Vol.

No

Heather Luper

$1,109 Vol.

No

Jerry Lightfoot

$751 Vol.

No

Kenneth Simons

$820 Vol.

No

Mark Kenneth Arness

$659 Vol.

No

Quincy Bareebe

$8,646 Vol.

No

Rushern Baker III

$7,110 Vol.

No

Tracy Starr

$1,617 Vol.

No

Wala Blegay

$2,501 Vol.

No

Adrian Boafo

$75,854 Vol.

Yes

Arthur Ellis

$1,886 Vol.

No

Elldwnia English

$1,279 Vol.

No

Harry Dunn

$16,978 Vol.

No

Harold Tolbert

$853 Vol.

No

James Makle Jr.

$863 Vol.

No

Keith Salkowski

$815 Vol.

No

Leigha Messick

$801 Vol.

No

Nicole Williams

$2,159 Vol.

No

Reuben Collins II

$1,871 Vol.

No

Terry Jackson

$869 Vol.

No

Walter Kirkland

$1,169 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Adrian Boafo leads the June 23 Democratic primary for Maryland’s open 5th Congressional District seat, vacated by longtime Rep. Steny Hoyer, with trader consensus placing him well ahead of Harry Dunn and the crowded field of over 20 candidates. Hoyer’s endorsement and substantial outside spending from crypto- and AIPAC-linked super PACs have bolstered Boafo’s position as a sitting state delegate, providing a resource advantage in the final days. Rivals Dunn, Quincy Bareebe, and Rushern Baker III have jointly criticized the influx of roughly $8 million in independent expenditures as “dark money,” highlighting potential voter backlash in Prince George’s County and Southern Maryland precincts. Fundraising reports show Dunn built a sizable personal war chest without corporate PAC support, yet the spending disparity and establishment backing continue to shape implied probabilities ahead of the primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$134,074
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 23, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 22, 2026, 1:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Na-propose ang outcome: Yes

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: Yes

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Adrian Boafo leads the June 23 Democratic primary for Maryland’s open 5th Congressional District seat, vacated by longtime Rep. Steny Hoyer, with trader consensus placing him well ahead of Harry Dunn and the crowded field of over 20 candidates. Hoyer’s endorsement and substantial outside spending from crypto- and AIPAC-linked super PACs have bolstered Boafo’s position as a sitting state delegate, providing a resource advantage in the final days. Rivals Dunn, Quincy Bareebe, and Rushern Baker III have jointly criticized the influx of roughly $8 million in independent expenditures as “dark money,” highlighting potential voter backlash in Prince George’s County and Southern Maryland precincts. Fundraising reports show Dunn built a sizable personal war chest without corporate PAC support, yet the spending disparity and establishment backing continue to shape implied probabilities ahead of the primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$134,074
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 23, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 22, 2026, 1:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Na-propose ang outcome: Yes

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: Yes

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "MD-05 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 24 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Adrian Boafo" sa 100%, sinusundan ng "Alexis Solis" sa 0%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "MD-05 Democratic Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $134.1K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Apr 22, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "MD-05 Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 24 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "MD-05 Democratic Primary Winner" ay "Adrian Boafo" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Alexis Solis" sa 0%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "MD-05 Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.