Moonshot AI has not released Kimi K3 as of mid-May 2026, keeping trader sentiment focused on development timelines following the January Series C funding round that raised $500 million explicitly for K3 advancement and compute expansion. The April 20 launch of Kimi K2.6, a 1-trillion-parameter Mixture-of-Experts model with 32 billion active parameters, drove recent buzz by achieving state-of-the-art benchmarks in long-horizon coding, agent swarms scaling to 300 sub-agents over 4,000 steps, and tool-use tasks—often outperforming Anthropic's Claude Opus while remaining open-source and cost-competitive. This rapid iteration underscores Moonshot's aggressive pace amid China-U.S. AI rivalry, with K3 rumors targeting 3-4 trillion parameters; traders eye upcoming official announcements or benchmarks for resolution catalysts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateKimi K3 released by…?
Kimi K3 released by…?
$39,643 Vol.
June 30
11%
May 31
7%
$39,643 Vol.
June 30
11%
May 31
7%
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Moonshot AI has not released Kimi K3 as of mid-May 2026, keeping trader sentiment focused on development timelines following the January Series C funding round that raised $500 million explicitly for K3 advancement and compute expansion. The April 20 launch of Kimi K2.6, a 1-trillion-parameter Mixture-of-Experts model with 32 billion active parameters, drove recent buzz by achieving state-of-the-art benchmarks in long-horizon coding, agent swarms scaling to 300 sub-agents over 4,000 steps, and tool-use tasks—often outperforming Anthropic's Claude Opus while remaining open-source and cost-competitive. This rapid iteration underscores Moonshot's aggressive pace amid China-U.S. AI rivalry, with K3 rumors targeting 3-4 trillion parameters; traders eye upcoming official announcements or benchmarks for resolution catalysts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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