The retirement of longtime incumbent Dick Durbin opened the Illinois U.S. Senate seat for the first time since 1996, yet Democratic nominee Juliana Stratton quickly consolidated support after winning the March 17 primary with backing from Governor JB Pritzker and key party organizations. Illinois voters have delivered consistent Democratic majorities in statewide contests for over a decade, and current polling averages plus historical turnout patterns in urban and suburban counties reinforce trader expectations of a wide margin in the November general election. Republican nominee Don Tracy faces structural headwinds in a state where his party has not won a Senate race since 2010. Late developments such as a national political shift, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Republican mobilization in collar counties could narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on present indicators.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$24,938 Vol.
$24,938 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
95%
Republican
4%
$24,938 Vol.
$24,938 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$12,804 Vol.
95%
Republican
$12,133 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The retirement of longtime incumbent Dick Durbin opened the Illinois U.S. Senate seat for the first time since 1996, yet Democratic nominee Juliana Stratton quickly consolidated support after winning the March 17 primary with backing from Governor JB Pritzker and key party organizations. Illinois voters have delivered consistent Democratic majorities in statewide contests for over a decade, and current polling averages plus historical turnout patterns in urban and suburban counties reinforce trader expectations of a wide margin in the November general election. Republican nominee Don Tracy faces structural headwinds in a state where his party has not won a Senate race since 2010. Late developments such as a national political shift, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Republican mobilization in collar counties could narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on present indicators.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Binuksan ang Market: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Volume
$24,938Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The retirement of longtime incumbent Dick Durbin opened the Illinois U.S. Senate seat for the first time since 1996, yet Democratic nominee Juliana Stratton quickly consolidated support after winning the March 17 primary with backing from Governor JB Pritzker and key party organizations. Illinois voters have delivered consistent Democratic majorities in statewide contests for over a decade, and current polling averages plus historical turnout patterns in urban and suburban counties reinforce trader expectations of a wide margin in the November general election. Republican nominee Don Tracy faces structural headwinds in a state where his party has not won a Senate race since 2010. Late developments such as a national political shift, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Republican mobilization in collar counties could narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on present indicators.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$24,938Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The retirement of longtime incumbent Dick Durbin opened the Illinois U.S. Senate seat for the first time since 1996, yet Democratic nominee Juliana Stratton quickly consolidated support after winning the March 17 primary with backing from Governor JB Pritzker and key party organizations. Illinois voters have delivered consistent Democratic majorities in statewide contests for over a decade, and current polling averages plus historical turnout patterns in urban and suburban counties reinforce trader expectations of a wide margin in the November general election. Republican nominee Don Tracy faces structural headwinds in a state where his party has not won a Senate race since 2010. Late developments such as a national political shift, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high Republican mobilization in collar counties could narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on present indicators.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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