Trader consensus on Harvey Weinstein's ultimate prison time reflects deep uncertainty from his ongoing third New York rape retrial on a 2013 third-degree charge against Jessica Mann, with opening statements delivered April 21, 2026, after jury selection began earlier that month. The closely matched frontrunners—20-30 years at 33.1% implied probability versus no prison time at 25%—hinge on the trial's outcome, which could add up to 25 years consecutively to his existing 16-year California sexual assault conviction from 2022, upheld despite a skeptical appellate panel hearing on April 23. A prior 2025 New York sex crime conviction remains unsentenced, amplifying volatility, while successful appeals could zero out time given his age and health issues; key catalysts include the expected four-to-six-week verdict and California appeal ruling.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHarvey Weinstein bilangguan oras?
Harvey Weinstein bilangguan oras?
20-30 taon 33.1%
Walang Oras sa Kulungan 24.6%
10-20 taon 24.0%
Higit sa 30 taon 9.4%
$917,254 Vol.
$917,254 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
Walang Oras sa Kulungan
25%
Mas mababa sa 5 taon
7%
5-10 years
4%
10-20 taon
20%
20-30 taon
33%
Higit sa 30 taon
9%
20-30 taon 33.1%
Walang Oras sa Kulungan 24.6%
10-20 taon 24.0%
Higit sa 30 taon 9.4%
$917,254 Vol.
$917,254 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
Walang Oras sa Kulungan
$328,843 Vol.
25%
Mas mababa sa 5 taon
$119,821 Vol.
7%
5-10 years
$70,046 Vol.
4%
10-20 taon
$147,628 Vol.
20%
20-30 taon
$186,273 Vol.
33%
Higit sa 30 taon
$64,649 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Harvey Weinstein's ultimate prison time reflects deep uncertainty from his ongoing third New York rape retrial on a 2013 third-degree charge against Jessica Mann, with opening statements delivered April 21, 2026, after jury selection began earlier that month. The closely matched frontrunners—20-30 years at 33.1% implied probability versus no prison time at 25%—hinge on the trial's outcome, which could add up to 25 years consecutively to his existing 16-year California sexual assault conviction from 2022, upheld despite a skeptical appellate panel hearing on April 23. A prior 2025 New York sex crime conviction remains unsentenced, amplifying volatility, while successful appeals could zero out time given his age and health issues; key catalysts include the expected four-to-six-week verdict and California appeal ruling.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
Volume
$917,254Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2025Binuksan ang Market
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Harvey Weinstein's ultimate prison time reflects deep uncertainty from his ongoing third New York rape retrial on a 2013 third-degree charge against Jessica Mann, with opening statements delivered April 21, 2026, after jury selection began earlier that month. The closely matched frontrunners—20-30 years at 33.1% implied probability versus no prison time at 25%—hinge on the trial's outcome, which could add up to 25 years consecutively to his existing 16-year California sexual assault conviction from 2022, upheld despite a skeptical appellate panel hearing on April 23. A prior 2025 New York sex crime conviction remains unsentenced, amplifying volatility, while successful appeals could zero out time given his age and health issues; key catalysts include the expected four-to-six-week verdict and California appeal ruling.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$917,254Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2025Binuksan ang Market
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Harvey Weinstein's ultimate prison time reflects deep uncertainty from his ongoing third New York rape retrial on a 2013 third-degree charge against Jessica Mann, with opening statements delivered April 21, 2026, after jury selection began earlier that month. The closely matched frontrunners—20-30 years at 33.1% implied probability versus no prison time at 25%—hinge on the trial's outcome, which could add up to 25 years consecutively to his existing 16-year California sexual assault conviction from 2022, upheld despite a skeptical appellate panel hearing on April 23. A prior 2025 New York sex crime conviction remains unsentenced, amplifying volatility, while successful appeals could zero out time given his age and health issues; key catalysts include the expected four-to-six-week verdict and California appeal ruling.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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