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icon for Fed Interest Rates: May 2023

Fed Interest Rates: May 2023

icon for Fed Interest Rates: May 2023

Fed Interest Rates: May 2023

Ended: May 3, 2023

Jun 17

Jul 29

Sep 16

Ended: May 3, 2023

Jun 17

Jul 29

Sep 16

$248,940 Vol.

May 2, 2023
Polymarket

$248,940 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for 25 bps decrease after May meeting?

25 bps decrease after May meeting?

$9,783 Vol.

No

icon for 0 bps increase after May meeting?

0 bps increase after May meeting?

$59,841 Vol.

No

icon for 25 bps increase after May meeting?

25 bps increase after May meeting?

$161,930 Vol.

Yes

icon for 50 bps increase after May meeting?

50 bps increase after May meeting?

$17,387 Vol.

No

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for May 2-3, 2023 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's May 2023 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased exactly 25 basis points under the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by June 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for May 2-3, 2023 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's May 2023 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is exactly the same as the level it was prior to the meeting (namely it increased 0 bps). Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by June 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for May 2-3, 2023 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's May 2023 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased exactly 25 basis points over the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by June 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for May 2-3, 2023 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's May 2023 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased exactly 50 basis points over the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by June 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for May 2-3, 2023 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's May 2023 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased exactly 25 basis points under the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by June 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
Volume
$248,940
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 3, 2023
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 21, 2023, 8:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for May 2-3, 2023 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's May 2023 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased exactly 25 basis points under the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by June 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for May 2-3, 2023 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's May 2023 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased exactly 25 basis points under the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by June 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for May 2-3, 2023 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's May 2023 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is exactly the same as the level it was prior to the meeting (namely it increased 0 bps). Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by June 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for May 2-3, 2023 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's May 2023 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased exactly 25 basis points over the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by June 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for May 2-3, 2023 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's May 2023 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased exactly 50 basis points over the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by June 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for May 2-3, 2023 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's May 2023 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased exactly 25 basis points under the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by June 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
Volume
$248,940
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 3, 2023
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 21, 2023, 8:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for May 2-3, 2023 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market will resolve to “Yes” if following the Federal Reserve's May 2023 meeting the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased exactly 25 basis points under the level it was prior to the meeting. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their May meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by June 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Fed Interest Rates: May 2023" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 4 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "25 bps increase after May meeting?" sa 100%, sinusundan ng "25 bps decrease after May meeting?" sa 0%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Fed Interest Rates: May 2023" ay naka-generate ng $248.9K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Mar 22, 2023. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Fed Interest Rates: May 2023," i-browse ang 4 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Fed Interest Rates: May 2023" ay "25 bps increase after May meeting?" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "25 bps decrease after May meeting?" sa 0%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Fed Interest Rates: May 2023" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.