Skip to main content
icon for Claude Code Commits hit ___ by May 31?

Claude Code Commits hit ___ by May 31?

icon for Claude Code Commits hit ___ by May 31?

Claude Code Commits hit ___ by May 31?

$54,049 Vol.

May 31, 2026
Polymarket

$54,049 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ 750.0k

$10,580 Vol.

Yes

↑ 700.0k

$8,616 Vol.

Yes

↑ 650.0k

$5,024 Vol.

Yes

↑ 600.0k

$7,083 Vol.

Yes

↑ 550.0k

$13,365 Vol.

Yes

↓ 450.0k

$695 Vol.

Yes

↓ 400.0k

$3,005 Vol.

No

↓ 350.0k

$3,302 Vol.

No

↓ 300.0k

$2,379 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the daily Claude Code Commits figure is equal to or above the specified figure for any date between market creation and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only daily Claude Code Commits figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Commit figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding. This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been reached, or as soon as the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published and the specified figure has not been reached. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the data available at that time. Revisions made to published daily Claude Code Commits figures before the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published daily Claude Code Commits figure from resolving this market. Revisions made after the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will not be considered. This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the daily Claude Code Commits figure is equal to or below the specified figure for any date between market creation and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only daily Claude Code Commits figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Commit figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding. This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been reached, or as soon as the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published and the specified figure has not been reached. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the data available at that time. Revisions made to published daily Claude Code Commits figures before the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published daily Claude Code Commits figure from resolving this market. Revisions made after the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will not be considered. This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.Anthropic intensified developer focus on Claude Code throughout May 2026 with doubled five-hour usage limits, removal of peak-hour throttles, and weekly quota increases rolled out on May 6, alongside the Code with Claude conference in San Francisco that highlighted agentic workflows, remote session control, and integrations with GitHub and other platforms. These changes followed model updates like Claude 4.7 and aimed to accelerate real-world coding output, including autonomous agents generating pull requests and commits in projects such as Bun. Competitive pressure from tools like Cursor and GitHub Copilot, combined with Anthropic’s own dogfooding and high GitHub star counts for the Claude Code repo, shaped trader views on whether commit volumes would reach elevated thresholds by month-end. The market closed shortly after the London edition of the event, leaving limited time for last-minute adoption spikes to influence final tallies tracked via the dedicated commits dashboard.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the daily Claude Code Commits figure is equal to or above the specified figure for any date between market creation and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only daily Claude Code Commits figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Commit figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding.

This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been reached, or as soon as the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published and the specified figure has not been reached. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the data available at that time.

Revisions made to published daily Claude Code Commits figures before the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published daily Claude Code Commits figure from resolving this market. Revisions made after the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will not be considered.

This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.
Volume
$54,049
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
May 19, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the daily Claude Code Commits figure is equal to or above the specified figure for any date between market creation and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only daily Claude Code Commits figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Commit figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding. This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been reached, or as soon as the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published and the specified figure has not been reached. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the data available at that time. Revisions made to published daily Claude Code Commits figures before the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published daily Claude Code Commits figure from resolving this market. Revisions made after the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will not be considered. This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.

Na-propose ang outcome: Yes

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the daily Claude Code Commits figure is equal to or above the specified figure for any date between market creation and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only daily Claude Code Commits figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Commit figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding. This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been reached, or as soon as the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published and the specified figure has not been reached. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the data available at that time. Revisions made to published daily Claude Code Commits figures before the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published daily Claude Code Commits figure from resolving this market. Revisions made after the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will not be considered. This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the daily Claude Code Commits figure is equal to or below the specified figure for any date between market creation and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only daily Claude Code Commits figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Commit figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding. This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been reached, or as soon as the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published and the specified figure has not been reached. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the data available at that time. Revisions made to published daily Claude Code Commits figures before the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published daily Claude Code Commits figure from resolving this market. Revisions made after the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will not be considered. This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.Anthropic intensified developer focus on Claude Code throughout May 2026 with doubled five-hour usage limits, removal of peak-hour throttles, and weekly quota increases rolled out on May 6, alongside the Code with Claude conference in San Francisco that highlighted agentic workflows, remote session control, and integrations with GitHub and other platforms. These changes followed model updates like Claude 4.7 and aimed to accelerate real-world coding output, including autonomous agents generating pull requests and commits in projects such as Bun. Competitive pressure from tools like Cursor and GitHub Copilot, combined with Anthropic’s own dogfooding and high GitHub star counts for the Claude Code repo, shaped trader views on whether commit volumes would reach elevated thresholds by month-end. The market closed shortly after the London edition of the event, leaving limited time for last-minute adoption spikes to influence final tallies tracked via the dedicated commits dashboard.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the daily Claude Code Commits figure is equal to or above the specified figure for any date between market creation and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only daily Claude Code Commits figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Commit figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding.

This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been reached, or as soon as the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published and the specified figure has not been reached. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the data available at that time.

Revisions made to published daily Claude Code Commits figures before the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published daily Claude Code Commits figure from resolving this market. Revisions made after the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will not be considered.

This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.
Volume
$54,049
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
May 19, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the daily Claude Code Commits figure is equal to or above the specified figure for any date between market creation and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only daily Claude Code Commits figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Commit figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding. This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been reached, or as soon as the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published and the specified figure has not been reached. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the data available at that time. Revisions made to published daily Claude Code Commits figures before the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published daily Claude Code Commits figure from resolving this market. Revisions made after the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will not be considered. This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.

Na-propose ang outcome: Yes

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: Yes

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Claude Code Commits hit ___ by May 31?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 9 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "↑ 750.0k" sa 100%, sinusundan ng "↑ 700.0k" sa 100%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Claude Code Commits hit ___ by May 31?" ay naka-generate ng $54K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong May 18, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Claude Code Commits hit ___ by May 31?," i-browse ang 9 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Claude Code Commits hit ___ by May 31?" ay "↑ 750.0k" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "↑ 700.0k" sa 100%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Claude Code Commits hit ___ by May 31?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.