Xi Jinping's extensive control over the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army underpins the 96.4% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Recent military leadership changes, including investigations into senior Central Military Commission figures in early 2026, reflect ongoing power consolidation rather than fracturing among elites. Institutional mechanisms such as pervasive surveillance, loyalty requirements for promotions, and centralized command structures have historically prevented organized challenges in the post-1949 era. While a major economic downturn, leadership health event, or external shock could theoretically create openings for dissent, current indicators show sustained stability in elite politics and no verified signs of coordinated opposition capable of mounting an attempt.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$132,057 Vol.
$132,057 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$132,057 Vol.
$132,057 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's extensive control over the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army underpins the 96.4% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Recent military leadership changes, including investigations into senior Central Military Commission figures in early 2026, reflect ongoing power consolidation rather than fracturing among elites. Institutional mechanisms such as pervasive surveillance, loyalty requirements for promotions, and centralized command structures have historically prevented organized challenges in the post-1949 era. While a major economic downturn, leadership health event, or external shock could theoretically create openings for dissent, current indicators show sustained stability in elite politics and no verified signs of coordinated opposition capable of mounting an attempt.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$132,057Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping's extensive control over the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army underpins the 96.4% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Recent military leadership changes, including investigations into senior Central Military Commission figures in early 2026, reflect ongoing power consolidation rather than fracturing among elites. Institutional mechanisms such as pervasive surveillance, loyalty requirements for promotions, and centralized command structures have historically prevented organized challenges in the post-1949 era. While a major economic downturn, leadership health event, or external shock could theoretically create openings for dissent, current indicators show sustained stability in elite politics and no verified signs of coordinated opposition capable of mounting an attempt.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$132,057Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping's extensive control over the Chinese Communist Party and People's Liberation Army underpins the 96.4% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Recent military leadership changes, including investigations into senior Central Military Commission figures in early 2026, reflect ongoing power consolidation rather than fracturing among elites. Institutional mechanisms such as pervasive surveillance, loyalty requirements for promotions, and centralized command structures have historically prevented organized challenges in the post-1949 era. While a major economic downturn, leadership health event, or external shock could theoretically create openings for dissent, current indicators show sustained stability in elite politics and no verified signs of coordinated opposition capable of mounting an attempt.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong