Amazon’s official guidance for roughly $200 billion in 2026 capital expenditures, disclosed by CEO Andy Jassy in February earnings remarks and detailed further in the April shareholder letter, anchors current trader sentiment. The bulk of the planned outlay targets AWS AI infrastructure, including new data-center builds, power capacity expansion, and custom silicon such as Trainium 3 chips, supported by major customer commitments including a multi-year OpenAI agreement exceeding $100 billion. This marks a steep increase from the $131.8 billion spent in 2025 and reflects hyperscaler competition to meet surging demand for large-language-model training and inference. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming quarterly updates on AI revenue run rate and any revisions to the capex outlook that could shift implied probabilities around common thresholds such as $180 billion or $200 billion.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateAmazon 2026 capex above ___?
$170 billion
87%
$180 billion
85%
$190 billion
79%
$200 billion
52%
$210 billion
34%
$220 billion
16%
$689 Vol.
$170 billion
87%
$180 billion
85%
$190 billion
79%
$200 billion
52%
$210 billion
34%
$220 billion
16%
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified period are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026 by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Amazon's official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings (including the Annual Report on Form 10-K). If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Capital expenditures are defined as purchases of property and equipment as reported in Amazon's consolidated statements of cash flows under investing activities, consistent with how Amazon has historically disclosed this figure. Alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 23, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified period are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified company does not release earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026 by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Amazon's official company earnings materials for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings (including the Annual Report on Form 10-K). If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Capital expenditures are defined as purchases of property and equipment as reported in Amazon's consolidated statements of cash flows under investing activities, consistent with how Amazon has historically disclosed this figure. Alternate metrics that differ in definition or scope will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Amazon’s official guidance for roughly $200 billion in 2026 capital expenditures, disclosed by CEO Andy Jassy in February earnings remarks and detailed further in the April shareholder letter, anchors current trader sentiment. The bulk of the planned outlay targets AWS AI infrastructure, including new data-center builds, power capacity expansion, and custom silicon such as Trainium 3 chips, supported by major customer commitments including a multi-year OpenAI agreement exceeding $100 billion. This marks a steep increase from the $131.8 billion spent in 2025 and reflects hyperscaler competition to meet surging demand for large-language-model training and inference. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming quarterly updates on AI revenue run rate and any revisions to the capex outlook that could shift implied probabilities around common thresholds such as $180 billion or $200 billion.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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