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Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?
86.6¢
95.8¢

Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
77.2¢
85.5¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Will Trump say "Columbus" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?
78.3¢
76¢

Will Trump say "Columbus" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Will Trump say "Steel" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?
89.3¢
84.5¢

Will Trump say "Steel" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
78.3¢
79.5¢

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Trump out as President before 2027?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
92¢
95.9¢

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
63.3¢
62.5¢

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
75¢
93.5¢

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?

NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
81¢
93.5¢

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?

Will Claude go down 14+ times in October?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
80.8¢
83.5¢

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
72.5¢
69.5¢

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?