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luish

เข้าร่วม May 2024·411 การเข้าชม

focus on geopolitics and tech

$4,677.37

มูลค่าสถานะ

$455.01

ชนะสูงสุด

231

การคาดการณ์

กำไร/ขาดทุน

-$43.52
Polymarket

วันที่ผ่านมา

Portfolio Profit/Loss Chart
icon for Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

No 82¢
2,151.0 หุ้น
$1,731.55-$33.31 (-1.89%)
icon for Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?

Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?

No 83.8¢
330.0 หุ้น
$327.53$50.93 (18.41%)
icon for Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?

No 53¢
388.9 หุ้น
$309.14$103.16 (50.08%)
icon for Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?

No 17.2¢
400.0 หุ้น
$250.00$181.00 (262.32%)
icon for Will any AI model reach 1550 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?

Will any AI model reach 1550 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?

No 68.7¢
234.0 หุ้น
$215.27$54.43 (33.84%)
icon for Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

No 29.1¢
277.6 หุ้น
$208.21$127.42 (157.71%)
icon for Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

No 62.9¢
200.0 หุ้น
$167.00$41.11 (32.65%)
icon for Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

No 68.5¢
200.0 หุ้น
$158.00$21.00 (15.33%)
icon for Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?

No 64¢
150.0 หุ้น
$145.43$49.43 (51.48%)
icon for EU debt downgrade before 2027?

EU debt downgrade before 2027?

No 68.6¢
166.0 หุ้น
$137.74$23.88 (20.97%)
icon for Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?

Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?

No 64.7¢
136.9 หุ้น
$119.75$31.16 (35.18%)
icon for Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?

No 44¢
100.0 หุ้น
$95.90$51.90 (117.95%)
icon for Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?

No 63¢
100.0 หุ้น
$93.70$30.70 (48.73%)
icon for Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?

Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?

Yes 39.3¢
328.5 หุ้น
$70.63-$58.51 (-45.31%)
icon for Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?

Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?

No 73.7¢
87.3 หุ้น
$68.54$4.19 (6.51%)
icon for Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

No 89.9¢
63.2 หุ้น
$58.02$1.26 (2.22%)
icon for Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Yes 40¢
71.1 หุ้น
$51.57$23.12 (81.25%)
icon for Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

No 53¢
50.0 หุ้น
$49.05$22.55 (85.09%)
icon for Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by June 30?

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by June 30?

No 10¢
300.0 หุ้น
$40.50$10.50 (35%)