President Trump's steadfast commitment to his second term, absent any official announcements, health emergencies, or impeachment proceedings, underpins the 94.5% implied probability traders assign to "No" on resignation before 2027. The White House swiftly debunked early April social media rumors of his hospitalization at Walter Reed National Military Medical Center, affirming his active schedule and dismissing speculation as unfounded. Democratic strategist James Carville's March prediction of a voluntary exit by March 2027, citing policy setbacks like Supreme Court tariff reversals requiring $166 billion in refunds, drew White House mockery as partisan hyperbole. Recent cabinet turbulence—including Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer's April 20 resignation amid a misconduct probe—highlights administrative churn but imposes no evident pressure on the president. Midterm elections in November 2026 loom as a potential congressional shift, yet historical precedents show incumbents rarely resign without acute crises.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$15,449 ปริมาณ
$15,449 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
$15,449 ปริมาณ
$15,449 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's steadfast commitment to his second term, absent any official announcements, health emergencies, or impeachment proceedings, underpins the 94.5% implied probability traders assign to "No" on resignation before 2027. The White House swiftly debunked early April social media rumors of his hospitalization at Walter Reed National Military Medical Center, affirming his active schedule and dismissing speculation as unfounded. Democratic strategist James Carville's March prediction of a voluntary exit by March 2027, citing policy setbacks like Supreme Court tariff reversals requiring $166 billion in refunds, drew White House mockery as partisan hyperbole. Recent cabinet turbulence—including Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer's April 20 resignation amid a misconduct probe—highlights administrative churn but imposes no evident pressure on the president. Midterm elections in November 2026 loom as a potential congressional shift, yet historical precedents show incumbents rarely resign without acute crises.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,449วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's steadfast commitment to his second term, absent any official announcements, health emergencies, or impeachment proceedings, underpins the 94.5% implied probability traders assign to "No" on resignation before 2027. The White House swiftly debunked early April social media rumors of his hospitalization at Walter Reed National Military Medical Center, affirming his active schedule and dismissing speculation as unfounded. Democratic strategist James Carville's March prediction of a voluntary exit by March 2027, citing policy setbacks like Supreme Court tariff reversals requiring $166 billion in refunds, drew White House mockery as partisan hyperbole. Recent cabinet turbulence—including Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer's April 20 resignation amid a misconduct probe—highlights administrative churn but imposes no evident pressure on the president. Midterm elections in November 2026 loom as a potential congressional shift, yet historical precedents show incumbents rarely resign without acute crises.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,449วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's steadfast commitment to his second term, absent any official announcements, health emergencies, or impeachment proceedings, underpins the 94.5% implied probability traders assign to "No" on resignation before 2027. The White House swiftly debunked early April social media rumors of his hospitalization at Walter Reed National Military Medical Center, affirming his active schedule and dismissing speculation as unfounded. Democratic strategist James Carville's March prediction of a voluntary exit by March 2027, citing policy setbacks like Supreme Court tariff reversals requiring $166 billion in refunds, drew White House mockery as partisan hyperbole. Recent cabinet turbulence—including Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer's April 20 resignation amid a misconduct probe—highlights administrative churn but imposes no evident pressure on the president. Midterm elections in November 2026 loom as a potential congressional shift, yet historical precedents show incumbents rarely resign without acute crises.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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